Expected DA

DA from Jan 2018 – 7% to All CG Employees and Pensioners

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DA from Jan 2018 – 7% to All CG Employees and Pensioners

AICPIN for December 2017 has been released and there is no impact on Central Dearness Allowance with effect from January 2018. As we expected earlier, the same 2% of additional Dearness Allowance for existing CG Employees and 2% Dearness Relief for CG Pensioners effective from 1.1.2018.

Even the All-India CPI-IW for December, 2017 decreased by 2 points and stands at 286 (two hundred and eighty six), the calculation of DA remains at same.

So, the total Dearness Allowance will be 7% with effect from 1st January 2018.

Month / Year AICPIN
JANUARY 2017 274 (-1)
FEBRUARY 2017 274 (0)
MARCH 2017 275 (+1)
APRIL 2017 277 (+2)
MAY 2017 278 (+1)
JUNE 2017 280 (+2)
Total Increased 6 Points
Month / Year AICPIN
JULY 2017 285 (+5)
AUGUST 2017 285 (0)
SEPTEMBER 2017 285 (0)
SEPTEMBER 2017 287 (+2)
SEPTEMBER 2017 288 (+1)
DECEMBER 2017  286 (-2)
Total Increased 6 Points

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Be the first to comment - What do you think?  Posted by admin - February 7, 2018 at 12:45 am

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Expected DA Jan 2018- AICPIN for the Month of Dec, 2017

Expected DA Jan 2018- AICPIN for the Month of Dec, 2017

No. 5/1/2017-CPI
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF LABOUR & EMPLOYMENT
LABOUR BUREAU

‘CLEREMONT’, SHIMLA-171004
DATED: 31st January, 2018

Press Release

Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) – December, 2017

The All-India CPI-IW for December, 2017 decreased by 2 points and pegged at 286 (two( hundred and eighty six). On 1-month percentage change, it decreased by (-) 0.69 per cent between November, 2017 and December, 2017 when compared with the decrease of (-) 0,72 per cent for the corresponding months of last year.

The maximum downward pressure to the change in current index came from Food grotip contributing (-) 2.37 percentage points to the total change. At item level, Rice, Arhar Dal, Gram Dal, Groundnut Oil, Chillies Green, Brinjal, Cabbage, Carrot, Cauliflower, French Beans, Green Coriander Leaves, Methi, Palak, Peas, Potato, Radish, Tomato, Banana, Sugar, ESI Premium Contribution, Toilet Soap, etc. are responsible for the decrease in index. However, this decrease was checked by Wheat Atta, Coconut Oil, Fish Fresh, Goat Meat, Onion, Tamarind, Coconut, Electricity Charges, Firewood. Secondary School Fee, Flowers/Flower Garlands, etc., putting upward pressure on the index.

The year-on-year inflation measured by monthly CPI-IW stood at 4.00 per cent for December, 2017 as compared to 3.97 per cent for the previous month and 2.23 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year. Similarly, the Food inflation stood at 4.32 per cent ‘against 3.91 per cent of the previous month and 0.67 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year.

At centre level, Jamshedpur and Tiruchirapally reported the maximum decrease of (7 points each) followed by Doom Dooma Tinsukia, Siliguri, Godavarikhani and Jalpaiguri (6 points each). Among others, 5 points decrease was observed in 7 centres, 4 points in 10 centres, 3 points in 9 centres, 2 points in 21 centres and 1 point in 13 centres. On the contrary, Darjeeling recorded a maximum increase of 8 points followed by Maria’ (4 points) and Srinagar (3 points). Among others, 2 points increase was observed in 2 centres and 1 point in 2 centres. Rest of the 5 centres’ indices remained stationary.

The indices of 35 centres are above All-India Index and 43 centres’ indices are below national average.

The next issue of CPI-IW for the month of January, 2018 will be released on Wednesday, 28th February, 2018. The same will also be available on the office website www.labourbureanew.gov.in.

Sd/-
(AMRIT LAL JANGID)
DEPUTY DIRECTOR

PIB

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Expected DA Jan 2018: Central Government Employees losing interest in Expected DA?

Expected DA Jan 2018: Central Government Employees losing interest in Expected DA?

Central Government employees losing interest in Dearness Allowance?

It is becoming very obvious these days that the Central Government employees and pensioners are fast losing interest in Dearness Allowance.

Dearness Allowance is given to the Central Government employees once every six months, in order to help them maintain their lifestyle against the rising prices. Fluctuations in the prices of 392 essential items are recorded regularly at 78 various locations and their data is tabulated once every month to calculate the All India Consumer Price Index Number(AICPIN), which is then released by the Centre. Dearness Allowance is thus calculated.

For eight years now, we have been calculating the Dearness Allowance in advance and releasing the numbers. This is why we are able to sense an acute loss of interest among the Central Government employees in recent times to know their next and expected Dearness Allowance.

Dearness Allowance is calculated with the employee’s basic salary. For example, a 5 percent Dearness Allowance for an employee who draws a basic salary of Rs. 7000 per month, will translate into Rs. 350. An employee drawing basic salary of Rs. 20,000 will get an additional Rs. 200 if 1 percent Dearness Allowance is sanctioned.

All the Central Government employees, defence personnel and pensioners are now being paid as per the recommendations of the Seventh Pay Commission, from January 2016 onwards. The Seventh Pay Commission had recommended that no changes shall be made in the Dearness Allowance calculations and the method adopted by the Sixth Pay Commission continues to be followed. The centre too had accepted the recommendations.

Under the Sixth Pay Commission method, the Dearness Allowance had increased by 125 percent in the past ten years, from January 2006 to December 2015. It is worth mentioning that at least thrice, a Dearness Allowance of 10 percent was paid to the employees. The table below shows the Dearness Allowance that was paid once every six months.

The loss of interest among the employees probably has something to do with the fact that the increase in Dearness Allowance has only been marginal ever since the Seventh Pay Commission was implemented.

There was no Dearness Allowance for the first six months, January to June 2016. Dearness Allowance of only two percent was given for July to December 2016. It looked as if something was wrong with the calculations, right from the start, but the employees thought that things will improve with time. The Dearness Allowance for January to June 2017 was a mere one percent, which came as a rude shock to all.

The centre claimed that it was because they have the prices under control.

So, what is the Dearness Allowance for the second term of 2017, July to December 2017, likely to be?

This time too, it is not expected to exceed two percent.

We expect the Dearness Allowance to be 7% with effect from January 2018.

DA Table from 1.1.2016 as per 7th CPC

Month/Year CPI(IW)

BY2001=100

Total of

12 Months

12 Months

Average

DA with

Decimal

DA %
Jan-16 269 3152 262.67 0.48
Feb-16 267 3166 263.83 0.92
Mar-16 268 3180 265 1.37
Apr-16 271 3195 266.25 1.85
May-16 275 3212 267.67 2.39
Jun-16 277 3228 269 2.9 2%
Jul-16 280 3245 270.42 3.44
Aug-16 278 3259 271.58 3.89
Sep-16 277 3270 272.05 4.24
Oct-16 278 3279 273.25 4.53
Nov-16 277 3286 273.83 4.75
Dec-16 275 3292 274.33 4.94 4%
Jan-17 274 3297 274.75 5.1
Feb-17 274 3304 275.33 5.32
Mar-17 275 3311 275.92 5.55
Apr-17 277 3317 276.42 5.74
May-17 278 3320 276.67 5.83
Jun-17 280 3323 276.91 5.93 5%
Jul-17 285 3328 277.33 6.09
Aug-17 285 3335 277.92 6.31
Sep-17 285 3343 278.58 6.56
Oct-17 287 3352 279.33 6.85
Nov-17
Dec-17

Via: Expected DA

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Expected DA from January 2018: Confirm 7th CPC DA @ 7% & Expected 6th CPC @ 143% – CPI(IW) Index of Oct, 17 released

Expected DA from January 2018: Confirm 7th CPC DA @ 7% & Expected 6th CPC @ 143% – CPI(IW) Index of Oct, 17 released

All India Consumer Price(Industrial Workers) Index Number [CPI(IW)] of Oct, 2017 has been released yesterday by Labour Bureau and increased by 2 points and pegged at 287 (two hundred and eighty seven). With this increase 7th CPC Dearness Allowance/Dearness Relief for Central Govt Employees and Pensioner w.e.f. the month from January, 2018 will be 7% with 2% increase in July, 2017 DA/DR. On the other hand the 6th CPC DA speculated to be 143% with 4% increase in present DA Rate.

The speculation of month of Sept, 2017 while 5 points increase in All India Consumer Price(Industrial Workers) Index Number [CPI(IW)] of July, 2017 was indicating 7% 7th CPC Dearness Allowance with 2% increase & 142% 6th CPC DA with 3% increase in 6th CPC Dearness Allowance from January, 2018 has comes true after 3 months.

Only two months index is to be needed to give the calculated figure for the January, 2018 DA/DR but the confirm speculation is being given through the undermentioned table. The undermentioned speculations are checking the Expected DA 2018 by extreme up and down level of CPI(IW) Number. A major ups and down in index will give the confirm 7% 7th CPC DA and a minor change will give variation in 6th CPC DA as 142% or 143%. Have a look on expected DA table:

expected-da-january-2018

 Expected DA from Jan, 2018: ACPIN (IW) for Oct, 2017 released – 2 Points increased

No. 5/1/2017-CPI
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF LABOUR & EMPLOYMENT
LABOUR BUREAU

‘CLEREMONT’, SHIMLA-171004
DATED: 30th November, 2017

Press Release

Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) – October, 2017

The All-India CPI-IW for October, 2017 increased by 2 points and pegged at 287 (two hundred and eighty seven). On l-month percentage change, it increased by (+)0.70 per cent between September, 2017 and October, 2017 when compared with the increase of (+) 0.36 per cent for the corresponding months of last year.

The maximum upward pressure to the change in current index came from Food group contributing (+) 1.94 percentage points to the total change. At item level, Rice, Milk (Buffalo), Onion, Bitter Gourd, Brinjal, Cabbage, Cauliflower, Carrot, Gourd, Coconut, French Beans, Green Coriander Leaves, Lady’s Finger, Parval, Potato, Tomato, Torai, Cigarette, Cooking Gas, Doctor’s Fee, Cinema Charges, Repair Charges, Tailoring Charges, etc. are responsible for the increase in index. However, this increase was checked by Arhar Dal, Fish Fresh, Poultry (Chicken), Chillies Green, Peas, Apple, Banana, Orange, Petrol, etc., putting downward pressure on the index.

The year-on-year inflation measured by monthly CPI-IW stood at 3.24 per cent for October, 2017 as compared to 2.89 per cent for the previous month and 3.35 percent during the corresponding month of the previous year. Similarly, the Food inflation stood at 2.26 per cent against 1.30 per cent of the previous month and 2.99 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year.

At centre level, Darjeeling and Tiruchirapally reported the maximum increase of (10 points each) followed by Munger-Jamalpur (8 points) and Puducherry (7 points). Among others, 6 points increase was observed in 2 centres, 5 points in 8 centres, 4 points in 7 centres, 3 points in 8 centres, 2 points in 19 centres and 1 point in 14 centres. On the contrary, Mercara recorded a maximum decrease of 4 points. followed by Goa and Bhavnagar (3 points each). Among others, 2 points decrease was observed in l centre and 1 point in another 6 centres. Rest of the 6 centres’ indices remained stationary.

The indices of 33 centres are above All-India Index and 43 centres’ indices are below national average. The indices of Madurai and Amritsar centres remained at par with All-India Index.

The next issue of CPHW for the month of November, 2017 will be released on Friday, 29th December, 2017. The same will also be available on the office website www.labourbureaunew. gov. in.

(AMRIT LAL JANGID)

DEPUTY DIRECTOR

PIB

Be the first to comment - What do you think?  Posted by admin - December 1, 2017 at 8:59 pm

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Expected DA From Jan 2018 – AICPIN for the Month of September 2017

Expected DA From Jan 2018 – AICPIN for the Month of September 2017

AICPIN for the Month of September 2017

 

No.5/1/2017-CPI
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF LABOUR & EMPLOYMENT
LABOUR BUREAU

CLEREMONT, SHIMLA-171004
DATED: 31st October, 2017

Press Release

 Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) – September, 2017

 

The All-India CPI-IW for September, 2017 remained stationary at 285 (two hundred and eighty five). On 1-month percentage change, it remained static between August, 2017 and September, 2017 when compared with the decrease of (-) 0.36 per cent for the corresponding months of last year.

 

The maximum downward pressure to the change in current index came from Food group contributing (-) 1.26 percentage points to the total change. At item level, Fish Fresh, Onion, Bitter Gourd, Brinjal, Carrot, Gourd, Lady’s Finger, Potato, Tomato, Torai, Cucumber, Apple, Banana, etc. are responsible for the decrease in index. However, this decrease was checked by Rice, Wheat Atta, Arhar Dal, Coconut Oil, Poultry (Chicken), Chillies Green, Cauliflower, Green Coriander Leaves, Peas, Coconut, Bidi, Cigarette, Cooking Gas, Petrol, Tailoring Charges, etc., putting downward pressure on the index.

 

The year-on-year inflation measured by monthly CPI-IW stood at 2.89 per cent for September, 2017 as compared to 2.52 per cent for the previous month and 4.14 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year. Similarly, the Food inflation stood at (+) 1.30 per cent against (+) 1.61 per cent of the previous month and 4.05 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year.

 

At centre level, Tiruchirapally, Varanasi, Lucknow, Quilon and Salem reported the maximum decrease of 4 points each followed by Giridih, Bhilwara, Raniganj, Bengaluru, Faridabad, Vishakhapathnam, Jamshedpur and Haldia (3 points each). Among others, 2 points decrease was observed in 12 centres and 1 point in 18 centres. On the contrary, Tripura recorded a maximum increase of 7 points followed by Bhilai (6 points), Siliguri and Doom-Dooma Tinsukia (5 points each). Among others, 4 points increase was observed in 2 centres, 3 points in 2 centres, 2 points in 4 centres and 1 point in 10 centres. Rest of the 13 centres indices remained stationary.

 

The indices of 44 centres are below All-India Index and 33 centres indices are above national average. The index of Tiruchirapally centre remained at par with All-India Index. The next issue of CPI-IW for the month of October, 2017 will be released on Thursday, 30th November, 2017. The same will also be available on the office website WWW. labourbureaunew.gov.in.

 

(AMRIT LAL JANGID)
DEPUTY DIRECTOR

 

PIB

Be the first to comment - What do you think?  Posted by admin - October 31, 2017 at 9:21 pm

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Expected DA from Jan 2018 for CG Employees and Pensioners

Expected DA from Jan 2018 for Central Govt Employees and Pensioners

The All India Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) for July, 2017 increased by 5 points and pegged at 285. The Index increased by 1.79% between June, 2017 and July, 2017 when compared with the increase of 1.08% for the corresponding months of last year.

Dearness Allowance for CG Employees and Pensioners with effect from 1.1.2018 may be enhanced by 2% or 3% [Total DA percentage 7%(5% + 2%) or 8%(5% + 3%)]

Expected DA from Jan 2018 for CG Employees and Pensioners

Expected DA from Jan 2018 for CG Employees and Pensioners

Be the first to comment - What do you think?  Posted by admin - September 12, 2017 at 11:38 am

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Expected DA from January 2018 – DA would be 3% ?

Expected DA from January 2018 –  DA would be 3% ?

We have calculated the expected DA from January 2018 with different Scenarios, but most of the calculations comes around only 3 percent increase, lets us see the scenarios here

Scenario 1

In case the AICPIN value increase by 3 point for next FIVE months (example AUG 288, SEP 291, OCT 294, NOV 297, DEC 300,), then DA would be 3% (8.81-5 =3)

Scenario 2

In case the AICPIN value increase by 3 point for next FIVE months (example AUG 289, SEP 293, OCT 297, NOV 301, DEC 305) then DA would be 4% (9.28-5 =4)

EXPECTED-da-jan-2018-AICPIN

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Expected DA from January 2018 – AICPIN for the month of July 2017, 5 Points Increased (285)

AICPIN for the month of July 2017 – 5 Points Increased (285)

Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) – July 2017

The All India CPI-IW for July, 2017 increased by 5 points and pegged at 285.

The Index increased by 1.79% between June, 2017 and July, 2017 when compared with the increase of 1.08% for the corresponding months of last year.

No. 5/1/2017-CPI
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF LABOUR & EMPLOYMENT
LABOUR BUREAU
CLEREMONT, SHIMLA-171004

DATED: 31st August, 2017

Press Release

Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) – July 2017

The All-India CPI-IW for July, 2017 increased by 5 points and pegged at 285 (two hundred and eighty five). In terms of monthly change, it increased by (+) 1.79 per cent between June, 2017 and July, 2017 when compared with the increase of (+) 1.08 per cent for the corresponding months of last year.

 The maximum upward pressure to the change in current index came from Food group contributing (+) 3.12 percentage points to the total change. The House Rent index further accentuated the overall index by (+) 0.70 percentage points. At item level, Rice, Pure Ghee, Chillies (Green), Onion, Bitter Gourd, Brinjal, Gourd, Lady’s Finger, Palak, Parwal, Potato, Pumpkin, Tomato, Torai, Banana, Cucumber, Mango, Tea (Readymade), Bidi, Cooking Gas, Kerosene Oil, etc. are responsible for the increase in index. However, this increase was checked by Wheat, Arhar Dal, Masur Dal, Urd Dal, Coconut Oil, Mustard Oil, Poultry (Chicken), Coconut, Lemon, Petrol, etc., putting downward pressure on the index.

The year-on-year inflation measured by monthly CPI-IW stood at 1.79 per cent for July, 2017 as compared to 1.08 per cent for the previous month and 6.46 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year. Similarly, the Food inflation stood at (-) 0.32 per cent against (-) 1.28 per cent of the previous month and 9.34 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year.

At centre level, Jamshedpur reported the maximum increase of 12 points followed by Delhi and Ranchi-Hatia (11 points each), Raniganj and Jaipur (10 points each) and Varanasi and Amritsar (9 points each). Among others, 8 points increase was observed in 2 centres, 7 points in 7 centres, 6 points in 7 centres, 5 points in 11 centres, 4 points in 10 centres, 3 points in 13 centres, 2 points in 9 centres and 1 point in 5 centres. On the contrary, Goa recorded a decrease of 1 point. Rest of the 6 centres indices remained stationary.

The indices of 34 centres are above All-India Index and 42 centres indices are below national average. The indices of Amritsar and Lucknow centres remained at par with All-India Index.

The next issue of CPI-IW for the month of August, 2017 will be released on Friday, 29th September, 2017. The same will also be available on the office website www.labourbureaunew.gov.in.

(SHYAM SINGH NEGI)

DEPUTY DIRECTOR GENERAL

AICPIN-EXPECTED-DA-FROM-January-2018

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AICPIN for the month of June 2017

AICPIN for the month of June 2017

Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI_IW) – June 2017

The All India CPI_IW for June, 2017 increased by two points and pegged at 280.

No.5/1/2017-CPI
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF LABOUR & EMPLOYMENT
LABOUR BUREAU

‘CLEREMONT’, SHIMLA-171004
DATED: 31st July, 2017

Press Release

Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) – June, 2017

The All-India CPI-IW for June, 2017 increased by 2 points and pegged at 280 (two hundred and eighty). On 1-month percentage change, it increased by (+) 0.72 per cent between May, 2017 and June, 2017 when compared with the increase of (+) 0.73 per cent between the same two months a year ago.

The maximum upward pressure to the change in current index came from Food group contributing (+) 2.59 percentage points to the total change. At item level, Rice, Wheat, Fish Fresh, Eggs (Hen), Poultry (Chicken), Milk, Pure Ghee, Chillies Green, Onion, Brinjal, Cabbage, Cauliflower, Gourd, Green Coriander Leaves, Palak, Potato, Radish, Tomato, Torai, Coconut, Cooking Gas, Medicine (Allopathic), Toilet Soap, Tailoring Charges, etc. are responsible for the increase in index. However, this increase was checked by Arhar Dal, Masur Dal, Groundnut Oil, Mustard Oil, Chillies Dry, French Beans, Electricity Charges, Petrol, Flower/Flower Garlands, etc., putting downward pressure on the index.

The year-on-year inflation measured by monthly CPI-IW stood at 1.08 per cent for June, 2017 as compared to 1.09 per cent for the previous month and 6.13 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year. Similarly, the Food inflation stood at (-) 1.28 per cent against (-) 1.63 per cent of the previous month and 8.33 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year.

At centre level, Lucknow reported the maximum increase of 8 points followed by Agra (7 points) and Rajkot, Madurai, Varanasi, Quilon and Surat (6 points each). Among others, 5 points increase was observed in 8 centres, 4 points in 8 centres, 3 points in 9 centres, 2 points in 15 centres and 1 point in 13 centres. On the contrary, Darjeeling, Tripura, Belgaum, Rangapara-Tezpur and Chandigarh recorded maximum decrease of 2 points each followed by 1 point decrease in Guwahati. Rest of the 12 centres’ indices remained stationary.

The indices of 33 centres are above All-India Index and other 45 centres’ indices are below national average.

The next issue of CPI-IW for the month of July, 2017 will be released on Thursday, 31st August, 2017. The same will also be available on the office website www.labourbureaunew.gov.in.

(SHYAM SINGH NEGI)
DEPUTY DIRECTOR GENERAL

expected-da-july-2017-is-over

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Expected DA July 2017 for CG Employees and Pensioners

Expected DA July 2017 for CG Employees and Pensioners

Dearness Allowance is not an attractive word among CG Employees and Pensioners nowadays, because, the hike of DA and DR is around 1 or 2 Percent only. Particularly after 7th Pay Commission, the All India Consumer Price Index is on down trend. So, employees could not expect more like 6th Pay Commission regime. Before 2016, all CG Employees and Pensioners got higher of 10% of their basic pay or basic pension as DA or DR.

At present, we have 5 months AICPIN data from Jan to May 2017 and need one more month of June 2017 to calculate the exact percentage of DA and DR with effect from July 2017.

However, there will be no chance to increase the percentage of DA and DR from One Percent. So, the total DA and DR will become only 5% from July to Dec 2017.

The below table will describe a lot…

1 = Month/Year
2 = AICPIN
3 = Total of 12 Months
4 = 12 Monthly Average
5 = DA % with Decimal
6 = DA %

expected-da-table-july-2017

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AICPIN for the month of May 2017 – Expected DA Almost Final!

AICPIN for the month of May 2017 – Expected DA Almost Final!

All India Consumer Price Index for the month of May 2017

The official Press Release has been released by the Labour Bureau today on its official portal, the index has increased by one point and stands at 278. Expected Dearness Allowance and Dearness Relief for Central Government Employees and Pensioners is almost decided to hike by 1 percent with effect from 1st July 2017. The total DA and DR from 1.7.2017 may be revised as 5%.

The image of the Press Release is given below for your further reference…

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Expected DA from May 2017 for Bank Employees

Expected DA for Bank Staff from May 2017

Expected DA from May 2017 for Bank Employees

Expected Calculation of Dearness Allowance as per 10th Bipartite Settlement.

Expected DA from May 2017 to July 2017 : We need three months All India Consumer Price Index data to find out  the actual increasing in DA percentage. But, at present we have two months data only. The predicted calculation given below that the CPI(IW)BY 2001=100 increasing one or two points and decreasing one or two points…

Payable for the Year Payable for the months Average CPI No. of slabs % of pay
2017 May June July ? ? ?
2017 Feb Mar Apr 6315 469 46.9 
2016-17 Nov Dec Jan 6353 478 47.8 

AICPIN at 272 for the month of March 2017

Jan-17 274 6254.30
Feb-17 274 6254.30
Mar-17 272 6208.64 6239.08 450 45.0 -19.0

AICPIN at 273 for the month of March 2017

Jan-17 274 6254.30
Feb-17 274 6254.30
Mar-17 273 6231.47 6246.69 452 45.2 -17.1

AICPIN at 274 for the month of March 2017

Jan-17 274 6254.30
Feb-17 274 6254.30
Mar-17 274 6254.30 6254.30 454 45.4 -15.2

AICPIN at 275 for the month of March 2017

Jan-17 274 6254.30
Feb-17 274 6254.30
Mar-17 275 6277.12 6261.91 455 45.5 -13.3

AICPIN at 276 for the month of March 2017

Jan-17 274 6254.30
Feb-17 274 6254.30
Mar-17 276 6299.95 6269.51 457 45.7 -11.4

Be the first to comment - What do you think?  Posted by admin - April 21, 2017 at 10:41 am

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Expected DA: Cabinet to approve the Dearness Allowance hike soon

Expected DA: Cabinet to approve the Dearness Allowance hike soon

“The Central cabinet is likely to give its approval to a two percent Dearness Allowance hike, with effect from January 2017, to the Central Government employees.”

The cabinet is, at its next meeting, expected to give its approval to the additional Dearness Allowance of two percent to Central Government employees and pensioners, to come into effect from January 1, 2017 onwards.

The 2% Additional Dearness Allowance hike will be calculated on the basis of the basic pay as recommended by the Seventh Pay Commission, and will be given to more than 47 lakh Central Government employees and 53 lakh pensioners, of which 14 lakh employees and 18 lakh pensioners are from the defence forces.

The Dearness Allowance, issued once every six months, is given to Central Government employees and pensioners to help them manage the increase in prices of essential commodities. The Dearness Allowance is calculated on the basis of the Consumer Price Index Numbers for Industrial Workers on Base Year 2001=100.

The percentage for January 2017 was arrived at by recording the prices of essential commodities at 78 towns and cities across the country, for the months of July 2016 till December 2016. Based on the data and calculation, the percentage may be fixed at 4.95 percent. But, according to the method prescribed by the Pay Commission, the decimal numbers are ignored. Hence, a Dearness Allowance of four percent will be issued with effect from January 1, 2017 onwards.

The table is given below for more information to arrive the percentage calculation.

 

M/Y CPI(IW)BY 2001=100 Total 12 Months 12 Monthly Average % Increase Over 261.42 for DA
Jul -16 280 3245 270.42 3.44
Aug – 16 278 3259 271.58 3.88
Sep – 16 277 3270 272.50 4.23
Oct – 16 278 3279 273.25 4.53
Nov – 16 277 3286 273.83 4.75
Dec – 16 275 3292 274.33 4.95

Be the first to comment - What do you think?  Posted by admin - March 6, 2017 at 7:28 pm

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Expected DA from Jan 2017: AICPIN for December 2016

AICPIN for December 2016 – Expected DA from Jan 2017

Expected DA Jan 2017

Consumer Price Index Numbers for Industrial Workers on Base 2001=100

CPI(IW) Base 2001=100 Monthly Index Letter – November 2016

JANUARY 2016 269
FEBRUARY 2016 267
MARCH 2016 268
APRIL 2016 271
MAY 2016 275
JUNE 2016 277
JULY 2016 280
AUGUST 2016 278
SEPTEMBER 2016 277
OCTOBER 2016 278
NOVEMBER 2016 277
DECEMBER 2016 275

Additional DA from Jan 2017, may be about to increase 2%.

The total DA from Jan 2017 is expected to rise 4%.

Be the first to comment - What do you think?  Posted by admin - February 2, 2017 at 10:05 am

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Expected DA from January 2017

Expected DA from January 2017

Comrades,

The whole sale price index for the month of December has risen by 3.39%, which declined in past three months, this increase is due to manufacturing price increase (oil prices has increased), the food prices had in fact has come down in December 2016 .

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) was showing marginal decline from 278 points to 277 points in November 2016 , the DA stood at 4.76% as on November 2016, most likely the CPI may show increase of 1 point and may rise to 278 points in December 2016 or stay stable at 277 points.

Scenario I: If the CPI for the month of December 2016 is at 276 points(decrease on one point), the expected DA from January 2017 is likely at 2% (Total 4.97 %).

Scenario II: Even if the CPI for the month of December 2016 is at 277 points, the expected DA from January 2017 is likely at 3% (Total 5%).

Scenario III: If the CPI for the month of December 2016 is at 278 points, the expected DA from January 2017 is likely at 3% (Total 5.04 % ).

Comradely yours

(P.S.Prasad)
General Secretary

Source: http://karnatakacoc.blogspot.in/

Be the first to comment - What do you think?  Posted by admin - January 18, 2017 at 12:06 pm

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DA from January 2017 will be 4% or 5% – Dearness Allowance Estimation

DA from January 2017 will be 4% or 5% – Dearness Allowance Estimation

DA from January 2017 will be 4% or 5% based on Consumer Price Index (Industrial Workers) from January 2016 to December 2016 – Net increase in DA with effect from January 2017 is estimated to be 2% or 3%

All India Consumer Price Index (Industrial Workers) for the month of November 2016 has been released by Ministry of Labour few days back.

What do we need for estimating DA from January 2017 ?

After implementation of 7th Pay Commission report, same inflation index i.e Consumer Price Index (Industrial Workers) with base year 2001=100, which was used for 6th Pay Commission Pay, is adopted for determining Dearness Allowance of Central Government Employees and Pensioners.

The only difference in DA calculation as far as DA from January 2016 will be, will be taking the Average of CPI-IW recorded in 2015 in the place of Average of CPI-IW recorded in 2005 which was used in 6th CPC DA calculation

Dearness Allowance payable after implementation of 7th Pay Commission = (Avg of CPI-IW for the past 12 months – Average of CPI-IW recorded in 2015)*100/(Average of CPI-IW recorded in 2015)

In order to determine DA with effect from January 2017, based on the above formula we need Consumer Price Index for the months from January 2016 to December 2016

Now that Consumer Price Index for the months from January 2016 to November 2016 is available, we have made an attempt to estimate Dearness Allowance applicable to Central Government Employees and Pensioners with effect from 1st January 2016, by assuming the possible CPI (IW) for the month of December 2016.

Month Actual AICPI-IW
Jan-2016 269
Feb-2016 267
Mar-2016 268
Apr-2016 271
May-2016 275
Jun-2016 277
Jul-2016 280
Aug-2016 278
Sep-2016 277
Oct-2016 278
Nov-2016 277
Dec-2016 Yet to be released

Estimation of DA from 1st January 2017:

Scenario 1 : No increase in AICPI (IW) in December 2016

AICPI (IW) for November 2016 is 277. If AICPI (IW) for December 2016 remains the same as November 2016, there will be additional 1% increase in DA from January 2017 which would make overall DA as 5%.

DA with effect from 1st January 2017 = [ (269+267+268+271+
275+277+280+278+
277+278+277+277)/12]-(261.4)
X100/261.4
= 5 %

Scenario 2: Decrease in AICPI (IW) in December 2016

Even if All India Consumer Price Index (Industrial Workers) decreases by 31 point and pegged at 246 in the month of December 2016, DA from January 2017 will be 4% . At the same time even for 1 point decrease in the index for December 2016 will result in lesser DA increase from January 2017 compared to Sceanrio 1 in which index is unaltered in Dec 2016.

DA with effect from 1st January 2017 = [ (269+267+268+271+
275+277+280+278+
277+278+277+246)/12]-(261.4)
X100/261.4
= 4 %
DA with effect from 1st January 2017 = [ (269+267+268+271+
275+277+280+278+
277+278+277+276)/12]-(261.4)
X100/261.4
= 4 %

Scenario 3 : Increase in AICPI (IW) in December 2016

It is very interesting to note here that, even for increase in consumer price index in the month of December up to 31 points, i.e Increase in AICPI (IW) for December 2016 to 308 points from 277 points in November 2016, DA from January 2017 will be 5% only.

DA with effect from 1st January 2017 = [ (269+267+268+271+
275+277+280+278+277+
278+277+308)/12]-(261.4)
X100/261.4
= 5 %

The other scenario that increase of more than 31 points in AICPI (IW) in the month of December 2016 for making DA with effect from January 2017 more than 5% is most unlikely.

Hence, it is more logical to conclude that DA from January 2017 will be either 4% or 5%.

Be the first to comment - What do you think?  Posted by admin - January 3, 2017 at 6:14 pm

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NFIR assumption on DA from Jan 2017

NFIR assumption on DA from Jan 2017

 Probable DA rise w.e.f. 01-01-2017 if 277 continues 4.24% (round off to 4%)

 NFIR General Secreatry Shri M.Raghavaiah writes to its affiliates regarding the Dearness Allowance formula after 7th CPC and the expectation on next additional dearness allowance from Jan 2017.

NFIR
National Federation of Indian Railwaymen

3, Chelmsford Road, New Dlehi – 110055
No.I/5(A)/Part I

Dated: 01.11.2016

The General Secretaries of
Affiliated Unions of NFIR
Brother,

Sub: All India Consumer Price Index (IW) for the purpose of calculation of Dearness Allowance entitlement – reg.

 

The table placed below shows the year/month wise Consumer Price Index (CPI) :

DEARNESS ALLOWANCE

Dearness Allowance Formula = (Average of AICPIW for last 12 months) – 261.42 x 100 / 261.42

Year/Month wise CPI Jan Feb March April May June Average
2006 119 119 119 120 121 123
2007 127 128 127 128 129 130 126.92
2008 134 135 137 138 139 140 135.25
2009 148 148 148 150 151 153 147.92
2010 172  170  170  170 172 174 167.92
2011 188 185 185 186 187 189 183.33
2012 198 199 201 205 206 208 199.58
2013 221 223 224 226 228 231 220.67
2014 237 238 239 242 244 246 239.92
2015 254 253 254 256 258 261 254.42
2016 269 267 268 271 275 277 269.00
July August Sept Oct Nov Dec Average
124 124 125 127 127 127 122.92
132 133 133 134 134 134 130.75
143 145 146 148 148 147 141.67
160 162 163 165 168 169 157.08
178 178 179 181 182 185 175.92
193 194 197 198 199 197 191.25
212 214 215 217 218 219 209.33
235 237 238 241 243 239 232.17
252 253 253 253 253 253 246.92
263 264 266 269 270 269 261.42
280 278 277

Average for last 12 months = 272.50

Probable DA rise w.e.f. 01-01-2017 if 277 continues 4.24% (round off to 4%)

However the figures upto and inclusive December 2016 will be known during January 2017.

Yours fraternally,

sd/-

(Dr. M.Raghavaiah)

General Secretary

Source: NFIR

Be the first to comment - What do you think?  Posted by admin - November 2, 2016 at 8:35 am

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Expected DA from Jan 2017 : AICPIN for September 2016

All India Consumer Price Index Numbers for the month of Sep, 2016 released.

The Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers Base Year 2001=100 for the month of September 2016 has been released by the Labour Bureau today through its official web portal. The index decreased by one point and stands at 277.

aicpin-sep-2016

No.5/1/2016- CPI
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF LABOUR & EMPLOYMENT
LABOUR BUREAU

CLEREMONT, SHIMLA-171004
DATED: 31st October, 2016

Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) – September, 2016

The All-India CPI-IW for September, 2016 decreased by 1 point and stood at 277 (two hundred and seventy seven). On I-month percentage change, it decreased by (-) 0.36 per cent between August and September, 2016 when compared with the increase of(+) 0.76 per cent between the same two months a year ago.

The maximum downward pressure to the change in current index came from Food group contributing (-) 1.17 percentage points to the total change. At item level, Arhar Dal, Moong Dal, Masur Dal, Urd Dal, Fish Fresh, Eggs (Hen), Poultry (Chicken), Chillies Green, Onion, Brinjal, Cabbage, Carrot, Gourd, Green Coriander Leaves, Potato, Pumpkin, Tomato, Apple, Banana, Medicine (Allopathic), etc. are responsible for the decrease in index. However, this decrease was checked by Wheat, Wheat Atta, Gram Dal, Mustard Oil, Cauliflower, Parval, Radish, Coconut, Lemon,
Tea (Readymade), Snack Saltish, Private Tuition Fee, Petrol, etc.

The year-on-year inflation measured by monthly CPI-IW stood at 4.14 per cent for September, 2016 as compared to 5.30 per cent for the previous month and 5.14 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year. Similarly, the Food inflation stood at 4.05 per cent against 6.16 per cent of the previous month and 5.71 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year.

At centre level, Belgaum, Rajkot, Mumbai and Ahmedabad reported the maximum decrease of 4 points each followed by Ludhiana, Madurai, Agra, Chennai, Warrangal, Bhilwara and Surat (3 points each). Among others, 2 points decrease was observed in 12 centres and 1 point in 18 centres. On the contrary, Angul-Talcher recorded a maximum increase of 7 points followed by Howarah and Amritsar (3 points each). Among others, 2 points increase was observed in 8′ centres and 1 point in 7 centres. Rest of the 19 centres indices remained stationary.

The indices of 33 centres are above All-India Index and other 41 centres. indices are below national average. The indices of Jabalpur, LucknQw, Pune and Bhopal centres remained at par with All-India Index.

The next issue of CPI-IW for the month of October, 2016 will be released on Wednesday, 30th November, 2016. The same will also be available on the office website www.labourbureaunew.gov.in.

(SHYAM SINGH NEGI)
DEPUTY DIRECTOR GENERAL

Click here to view the Press Release

Be the first to comment - What do you think?  Posted by admin - November 1, 2016 at 10:24 am

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2% Dearness Allowance for Central Government Employees and Pensioners due from July 2016 may approve in the Union Cabinet Meeting

2% Dearness Allowance for Central Government Employees and Pensioners due from July 2016  may approve in the Union Cabinet Meeting

Cabinet may approve 2% DA today

Dearness Allowance for Central Government Employees and Pensioners due from July 2016 is likely to be approved in the Union Cabinet Meeting to be held  today (27.10.2016).

As per the recommendations of 7th Central Pay Commission on Dearness Allowance formula, Central Government is all set to declare 2% Dearness allowance and Dearness relief to be effective from July 1, 2016.

Table of AICPIN – All India Consumer Price Index Numbers for Industrial Workers BY 2001-100 from Jan 2016 to Jun 2016 are indicated in the table with average of 261.4

DEARNESS ALLOWANCE FROM JULY 2016

 Calculation of Dearness Allowance from July 2016 as shown in the table

Month / Year B.Y. 2001=100 12 Months Total 12 Months average % Increase over 261.4 DA
with Decimal
DA %
Jan-16 269 3152 262.67 1.26 0.48 0.48
Feb-16 267 3166 263.83 2.42 0.93 0.93
Mar-16 268 3180 265 3.59 1.37 1
Apr-16 271 3195 266.25 4.84 1.85 1
May-16 275 3212 267.67 6.26 2.39 2
Jun-16 277 3228 269 7.6 2.91 2

Be the first to comment - What do you think?  Posted by admin - October 27, 2016 at 8:11 am

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DA Calculation with AICPIN: Labour Bureau released Index for August 2016

DA Calculation with AICPIN: Labour Bureau released Index for August 2016

Consumer Price Index Numbers for Industrial Workers on Base 2001=100

CPI(IW) Base 2001=100 Monthly Index Letter : August 2016

Month / Year CPI(IW)
JANUARY 2016 269
FEBRUARY 2016 267
MARCH 2016 268
APRIL 2016 271
MAY 2016 275
JUNE 2016 277
JULY 2016 280
AUGUST 2016 278

The All India CPI-IW for August, 2016 decreased by 2 points and pegged at 278 (two hundred and seventy eight). On 1 month percentage change, it decreased by (-) 0.71 per cent between July, 2016 and August, 2016 when compared with the increase of (+) 0.38 per cent between the same two months a year ago.

Click here for press note

Authority: http://labourbureau.nic.in/

Be the first to comment - What do you think?  Posted by admin - October 1, 2016 at 7:30 am

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