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Expected DA Jan 2018- AICPIN for the Month of Dec, 2017

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Expected DA Jan 2018- AICPIN for the Month of Dec, 2017

No. 5/1/2017-CPI
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF LABOUR & EMPLOYMENT
LABOUR BUREAU

‘CLEREMONT’, SHIMLA-171004
DATED: 31st January, 2018

Press Release

Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) – December, 2017

The All-India CPI-IW for December, 2017 decreased by 2 points and pegged at 286 (two( hundred and eighty six). On 1-month percentage change, it decreased by (-) 0.69 per cent between November, 2017 and December, 2017 when compared with the decrease of (-) 0,72 per cent for the corresponding months of last year.

The maximum downward pressure to the change in current index came from Food grotip contributing (-) 2.37 percentage points to the total change. At item level, Rice, Arhar Dal, Gram Dal, Groundnut Oil, Chillies Green, Brinjal, Cabbage, Carrot, Cauliflower, French Beans, Green Coriander Leaves, Methi, Palak, Peas, Potato, Radish, Tomato, Banana, Sugar, ESI Premium Contribution, Toilet Soap, etc. are responsible for the decrease in index. However, this decrease was checked by Wheat Atta, Coconut Oil, Fish Fresh, Goat Meat, Onion, Tamarind, Coconut, Electricity Charges, Firewood. Secondary School Fee, Flowers/Flower Garlands, etc., putting upward pressure on the index.

The year-on-year inflation measured by monthly CPI-IW stood at 4.00 per cent for December, 2017 as compared to 3.97 per cent for the previous month and 2.23 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year. Similarly, the Food inflation stood at 4.32 per cent ‘against 3.91 per cent of the previous month and 0.67 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year.

At centre level, Jamshedpur and Tiruchirapally reported the maximum decrease of (7 points each) followed by Doom Dooma Tinsukia, Siliguri, Godavarikhani and Jalpaiguri (6 points each). Among others, 5 points decrease was observed in 7 centres, 4 points in 10 centres, 3 points in 9 centres, 2 points in 21 centres and 1 point in 13 centres. On the contrary, Darjeeling recorded a maximum increase of 8 points followed by Maria’ (4 points) and Srinagar (3 points). Among others, 2 points increase was observed in 2 centres and 1 point in 2 centres. Rest of the 5 centres’ indices remained stationary.

The indices of 35 centres are above All-India Index and 43 centres’ indices are below national average.

The next issue of CPI-IW for the month of January, 2018 will be released on Wednesday, 28th February, 2018. The same will also be available on the office website www.labourbureanew.gov.in.

Sd/-
(AMRIT LAL JANGID)
DEPUTY DIRECTOR

PIB

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Be the first to comment - What do you think?  Posted by admin - January 31, 2018 at 8:20 pm

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AICPIN for the Month of November 2017

AICPIN for the Month of November 2017

No.5/1/2017-CPI
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF LABOUR & EMPLOYMENT
LABOUR BUREAU

CLEREMONT, SHIMLA-171004
DATED: 29th December, 2017

Press Release


Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) – November, 2017

The All-India CPI-IW for November, 2017 increased by 1 point and pegged at 288 (two hundred and eighty eight). On 1-month percentage change, it increased by (+) 0.35 per cent between October, 2017 and November, 2017 when compared with the decrease of (-) 0.36 per cent for the corresponding months of last year.

The maximum upward pressure to the change in current index came from Food group contributing (+) 1.10 percentage points to the total change. At item level, Wheat Atta, Eggs (Hen), Goat Meat, Milk (Cow), Onion, Tamarind, Bitter Gourd, Cabbage, Carrot, Coconut, Potato, Tomato, Cooking Gas, Electricity Charges, Firewood, Kerosene Oil, Private Tuition Fee, Petrol, Barber Charges, etc. are responsible for the increase in index. However, this increase was checked by Arhar Dal, Gram Dal, Masur Dal, Urd Dal, Groundnut Oil, Fish Fresh, Poultry (Chicken), Chillies Green, Garlic, Ginger, Brinjal, Cauliflower, French Bean, Green Coriander Leaves, Methi, Palak, Radish, Apple, Banana, etc., putting downward pressure on the index.

The year-on-year inflation measured by monthly CPI-IW stood at 3.97 per cent for November, 2017 as compared to 3.24 per cent for the previous month and 2.59 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year. Similarly, the Food inflation stood at 3.91 per cent against 2.26 per cent of the previous month and 1.66 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year.

At centre level, Giridih reported the maximum increase of (7 points) followed by Salem and Puducherry (6 points each) and Rourkela, Sholapur, Mercara and Ghaziabad (5 points each). Among others, 4 points increase was observed in 5 centres, 3 points in 16 centres, 2 points in 13 centres and 1 point in 12 centres. On the contrary, Kolkata recorded a maximum decrease of 3 points followed by Munger-Jamalpur, Amritsar, Chandigarh and Doom Dooma Tinsukia (2 points each). Among others, 1 point decrease was observed in 7 centres. Rest of the 13 centres’ indices remained stationary.

The indices of 34 centres are above All-India Index and 42 centres indices are below national average. The indices of Vishakhapathnam and Ghaziabad centres remained at par with All-India Index.

The next issue of CPI-IW for the month of December, 2017 will be released on Wednesday, 31st January, 2018. The same will also be available on the office website www.labourbureaunew.gov.in.

(AMRITLALJANGID)
DEPUTY DIRECTOR

PIB

Be the first to comment - What do you think?  Posted by admin - December 29, 2017 at 10:27 pm

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Expected DA Jan 2018: Central Government Employees losing interest in Expected DA?

Expected DA Jan 2018: Central Government Employees losing interest in Expected DA?

Central Government employees losing interest in Dearness Allowance?

It is becoming very obvious these days that the Central Government employees and pensioners are fast losing interest in Dearness Allowance.

Dearness Allowance is given to the Central Government employees once every six months, in order to help them maintain their lifestyle against the rising prices. Fluctuations in the prices of 392 essential items are recorded regularly at 78 various locations and their data is tabulated once every month to calculate the All India Consumer Price Index Number(AICPIN), which is then released by the Centre. Dearness Allowance is thus calculated.

For eight years now, we have been calculating the Dearness Allowance in advance and releasing the numbers. This is why we are able to sense an acute loss of interest among the Central Government employees in recent times to know their next and expected Dearness Allowance.

Dearness Allowance is calculated with the employee’s basic salary. For example, a 5 percent Dearness Allowance for an employee who draws a basic salary of Rs. 7000 per month, will translate into Rs. 350. An employee drawing basic salary of Rs. 20,000 will get an additional Rs. 200 if 1 percent Dearness Allowance is sanctioned.

All the Central Government employees, defence personnel and pensioners are now being paid as per the recommendations of the Seventh Pay Commission, from January 2016 onwards. The Seventh Pay Commission had recommended that no changes shall be made in the Dearness Allowance calculations and the method adopted by the Sixth Pay Commission continues to be followed. The centre too had accepted the recommendations.

Under the Sixth Pay Commission method, the Dearness Allowance had increased by 125 percent in the past ten years, from January 2006 to December 2015. It is worth mentioning that at least thrice, a Dearness Allowance of 10 percent was paid to the employees. The table below shows the Dearness Allowance that was paid once every six months.

The loss of interest among the employees probably has something to do with the fact that the increase in Dearness Allowance has only been marginal ever since the Seventh Pay Commission was implemented.

There was no Dearness Allowance for the first six months, January to June 2016. Dearness Allowance of only two percent was given for July to December 2016. It looked as if something was wrong with the calculations, right from the start, but the employees thought that things will improve with time. The Dearness Allowance for January to June 2017 was a mere one percent, which came as a rude shock to all.

The centre claimed that it was because they have the prices under control.

So, what is the Dearness Allowance for the second term of 2017, July to December 2017, likely to be?

This time too, it is not expected to exceed two percent.

We expect the Dearness Allowance to be 7% with effect from January 2018.

DA Table from 1.1.2016 as per 7th CPC

Month/Year CPI(IW)

BY2001=100

Total of

12 Months

12 Months

Average

DA with

Decimal

DA %
Jan-16 269 3152 262.67 0.48
Feb-16 267 3166 263.83 0.92
Mar-16 268 3180 265 1.37
Apr-16 271 3195 266.25 1.85
May-16 275 3212 267.67 2.39
Jun-16 277 3228 269 2.9 2%
Jul-16 280 3245 270.42 3.44
Aug-16 278 3259 271.58 3.89
Sep-16 277 3270 272.05 4.24
Oct-16 278 3279 273.25 4.53
Nov-16 277 3286 273.83 4.75
Dec-16 275 3292 274.33 4.94 4%
Jan-17 274 3297 274.75 5.1
Feb-17 274 3304 275.33 5.32
Mar-17 275 3311 275.92 5.55
Apr-17 277 3317 276.42 5.74
May-17 278 3320 276.67 5.83
Jun-17 280 3323 276.91 5.93 5%
Jul-17 285 3328 277.33 6.09
Aug-17 285 3335 277.92 6.31
Sep-17 285 3343 278.58 6.56
Oct-17 287 3352 279.33 6.85
Nov-17
Dec-17

Via: Expected DA

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Expected DA from January 2018: Confirm 7th CPC DA @ 7% & Expected 6th CPC @ 143% – CPI(IW) Index of Oct, 17 released

Expected DA from January 2018: Confirm 7th CPC DA @ 7% & Expected 6th CPC @ 143% – CPI(IW) Index of Oct, 17 released

All India Consumer Price(Industrial Workers) Index Number [CPI(IW)] of Oct, 2017 has been released yesterday by Labour Bureau and increased by 2 points and pegged at 287 (two hundred and eighty seven). With this increase 7th CPC Dearness Allowance/Dearness Relief for Central Govt Employees and Pensioner w.e.f. the month from January, 2018 will be 7% with 2% increase in July, 2017 DA/DR. On the other hand the 6th CPC DA speculated to be 143% with 4% increase in present DA Rate.

The speculation of month of Sept, 2017 while 5 points increase in All India Consumer Price(Industrial Workers) Index Number [CPI(IW)] of July, 2017 was indicating 7% 7th CPC Dearness Allowance with 2% increase & 142% 6th CPC DA with 3% increase in 6th CPC Dearness Allowance from January, 2018 has comes true after 3 months.

Only two months index is to be needed to give the calculated figure for the January, 2018 DA/DR but the confirm speculation is being given through the undermentioned table. The undermentioned speculations are checking the Expected DA 2018 by extreme up and down level of CPI(IW) Number. A major ups and down in index will give the confirm 7% 7th CPC DA and a minor change will give variation in 6th CPC DA as 142% or 143%. Have a look on expected DA table:

expected-da-january-2018

 Expected DA from Jan, 2018: ACPIN (IW) for Oct, 2017 released – 2 Points increased

No. 5/1/2017-CPI
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF LABOUR & EMPLOYMENT
LABOUR BUREAU

‘CLEREMONT’, SHIMLA-171004
DATED: 30th November, 2017

Press Release

Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) – October, 2017

The All-India CPI-IW for October, 2017 increased by 2 points and pegged at 287 (two hundred and eighty seven). On l-month percentage change, it increased by (+)0.70 per cent between September, 2017 and October, 2017 when compared with the increase of (+) 0.36 per cent for the corresponding months of last year.

The maximum upward pressure to the change in current index came from Food group contributing (+) 1.94 percentage points to the total change. At item level, Rice, Milk (Buffalo), Onion, Bitter Gourd, Brinjal, Cabbage, Cauliflower, Carrot, Gourd, Coconut, French Beans, Green Coriander Leaves, Lady’s Finger, Parval, Potato, Tomato, Torai, Cigarette, Cooking Gas, Doctor’s Fee, Cinema Charges, Repair Charges, Tailoring Charges, etc. are responsible for the increase in index. However, this increase was checked by Arhar Dal, Fish Fresh, Poultry (Chicken), Chillies Green, Peas, Apple, Banana, Orange, Petrol, etc., putting downward pressure on the index.

The year-on-year inflation measured by monthly CPI-IW stood at 3.24 per cent for October, 2017 as compared to 2.89 per cent for the previous month and 3.35 percent during the corresponding month of the previous year. Similarly, the Food inflation stood at 2.26 per cent against 1.30 per cent of the previous month and 2.99 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year.

At centre level, Darjeeling and Tiruchirapally reported the maximum increase of (10 points each) followed by Munger-Jamalpur (8 points) and Puducherry (7 points). Among others, 6 points increase was observed in 2 centres, 5 points in 8 centres, 4 points in 7 centres, 3 points in 8 centres, 2 points in 19 centres and 1 point in 14 centres. On the contrary, Mercara recorded a maximum decrease of 4 points. followed by Goa and Bhavnagar (3 points each). Among others, 2 points decrease was observed in l centre and 1 point in another 6 centres. Rest of the 6 centres’ indices remained stationary.

The indices of 33 centres are above All-India Index and 43 centres’ indices are below national average. The indices of Madurai and Amritsar centres remained at par with All-India Index.

The next issue of CPHW for the month of November, 2017 will be released on Friday, 29th December, 2017. The same will also be available on the office website www.labourbureaunew. gov. in.

(AMRIT LAL JANGID)

DEPUTY DIRECTOR

PIB

Be the first to comment - What do you think?  Posted by admin - December 1, 2017 at 8:59 pm

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Consumer Price Index Numbers on Base 2012=100 for Rural, Urban and Combined for the month of October 2017

Consumer Price Index Numbers on Base 2012=100 for Rural, Urban and Combined for the month of October 2017

The Central Statistics Office (CSO), Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation has revised the Base Year of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) from 2010=100 to 2012=100 with effect from the release of indices for the month of January 2015.

2. In this press note, the CPI (Rural, Urban, Combined) on Base 2012=100 is being released for the month of October 2017. In addition to this, Consumer Food Price Index (CFPI) for all India Rural, Urban and Combined are also being released for October 2017. All India Inflation rates (on point to point basis i.e. current month over same month of last year, i.e., October 2017 over October 2016), based on General Indices and CFPIs are given as follows:

All India Inflation rates (%) based on CPI (General) and CFPI

Note: Figures of October 2017 are provisional.

4. Provisional indices for the month of October 2017 and also the final indices for September 2017 are being released with this note for all-India and for State/UTs. All-India provisional General (all-groups), Group and Sub-group level CPI and CFPI numbers for October 2017 for Rural, Urban and Combined are given in Annexure I. The inflation rates of important categories of items are given in Annexure II. State/UT wise provisional General CPI numbers for Rural, Urban and Combined are given in Annexure III. Inflation rates of major States, having population more than 50 lakhs as per population Census 2011, are given in Annexure IV. State/UT–wise Group CPIs are available on the Ministry’s website (www.mospi.gov.in).

5. Price data are collected from selected towns by the Field Operations Division of NSSO and from selected villages by the Department of Posts. Price data are received through web portals, maintained by the National Informatics Centre.

Next date of release: 12th December 2017 (Tuesday) for November 2017.

Authority: http://www.mospi.gov.in/

Be the first to comment - What do you think?  Posted by admin - November 14, 2017 at 7:00 pm

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Expected DA From Jan 2018 – AICPIN for the Month of September 2017

Expected DA From Jan 2018 – AICPIN for the Month of September 2017

AICPIN for the Month of September 2017

 

No.5/1/2017-CPI
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF LABOUR & EMPLOYMENT
LABOUR BUREAU

CLEREMONT, SHIMLA-171004
DATED: 31st October, 2017

Press Release

 Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) – September, 2017

 

The All-India CPI-IW for September, 2017 remained stationary at 285 (two hundred and eighty five). On 1-month percentage change, it remained static between August, 2017 and September, 2017 when compared with the decrease of (-) 0.36 per cent for the corresponding months of last year.

 

The maximum downward pressure to the change in current index came from Food group contributing (-) 1.26 percentage points to the total change. At item level, Fish Fresh, Onion, Bitter Gourd, Brinjal, Carrot, Gourd, Lady’s Finger, Potato, Tomato, Torai, Cucumber, Apple, Banana, etc. are responsible for the decrease in index. However, this decrease was checked by Rice, Wheat Atta, Arhar Dal, Coconut Oil, Poultry (Chicken), Chillies Green, Cauliflower, Green Coriander Leaves, Peas, Coconut, Bidi, Cigarette, Cooking Gas, Petrol, Tailoring Charges, etc., putting downward pressure on the index.

 

The year-on-year inflation measured by monthly CPI-IW stood at 2.89 per cent for September, 2017 as compared to 2.52 per cent for the previous month and 4.14 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year. Similarly, the Food inflation stood at (+) 1.30 per cent against (+) 1.61 per cent of the previous month and 4.05 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year.

 

At centre level, Tiruchirapally, Varanasi, Lucknow, Quilon and Salem reported the maximum decrease of 4 points each followed by Giridih, Bhilwara, Raniganj, Bengaluru, Faridabad, Vishakhapathnam, Jamshedpur and Haldia (3 points each). Among others, 2 points decrease was observed in 12 centres and 1 point in 18 centres. On the contrary, Tripura recorded a maximum increase of 7 points followed by Bhilai (6 points), Siliguri and Doom-Dooma Tinsukia (5 points each). Among others, 4 points increase was observed in 2 centres, 3 points in 2 centres, 2 points in 4 centres and 1 point in 10 centres. Rest of the 13 centres indices remained stationary.

 

The indices of 44 centres are below All-India Index and 33 centres indices are above national average. The index of Tiruchirapally centre remained at par with All-India Index. The next issue of CPI-IW for the month of October, 2017 will be released on Thursday, 30th November, 2017. The same will also be available on the office website WWW. labourbureaunew.gov.in.

 

(AMRIT LAL JANGID)
DEPUTY DIRECTOR

 

PIB

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AICPIN for August 2017 – Expected DA from January 2018

AICPIN for August 2017 – Expected DA from January 2018

The AICPIN (All India Consumer Price Index) for Industrial Workers Base Year 2001=100 for August, 2017 remained stationary at 285 (two hundred and eighty five).

No.5/1/2017-CPI
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF LABOUR & EMPLOYMENT
LABOUR BUREAU

‘CLEREMONT’, SHIMLA-171004
DATED: 29th September, 2017

PRESS RELEASE

Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) – August, 2017

The All-India CPI-IW for August, 2017 remained stationary at 285 (two hundred and eighty five). On 1-month percentage change, it remained static between July, 2017 and August, 2017 when compared with the decrease of (-) 0.71 per cent for the corresponding months of last year.

The maximum upward pressure to the change in current index came from Miscellaneous group contributing (+) 0.37 percentage points to the total change. At item level, Rice, Coconut Oil, Pure Ghee, Onion, Brinjal, Cabbage, Poi Sag, Pumpkin, Banana, Coconut, Mango, Tea (Readymade), Snack Saltish, Bide, Cinema Charges, Petrol, Flower/Flower Garlands, etc. are responsible for the increase in index. However, this increase was checked by Wheat, Wheat Atta, Masur Dal, Fish Fresh, Poultry (Chicken), Carrot, French Beans, Green Coriander Leaves, Methi, Peas, Tomato, Torai, etc., putting downward pressure on the index.

The year-on-year inflation measured by monthly CPI-IW stood at 2.52 per cent for August, 2017 as compared to 1.79 per cent for the previous month and 5.30 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year. Similarly, the Food inflation stood at (+) 1.61 per cent against (-) 0.32 per cent of the previous month and 6.16 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year.

At centre level, Jalpaiguri reported the maximum increase of 11 points followed by Jalandhar and Rourkela (8 points each), Chhindwara (6 points) and Chandigarh and Vishakhapathnam (5 points each). Among others, 4 points increase was observed in 3 centres, 3 points in 7 centres, 2 points in 14 centres and 1 point in 16 centres. On the contrary, Coonoor recorded a maximum decrease of 6 points followed by Lucknow (4 points) and Mundakkayam, Chennai and Puducherry (3 points each). Among others, 2 points decrease was observed in 6 centres and 1 point in 5 centres. Rest of the 16 centres’ indices remained stationary.

The indices of 35 centres are above All-India Index and 42 centres’ indices are below national average. The indices of Vishakhapathnam centre remained at par with All-India Index.

The next issue of CPI-IW for the month of September, 2017 will be released on Tuesday, 31st October, 2017. The same will also be available on the office website www.labourbureaunew.gov.in.

sd/-
(AMRIT LALJANGID)
DEPUTY DIRECTOR

Click to view the Press Release

Authority: www.labourbureaunew.gov.in

Be the first to comment - What do you think?  Posted by admin - September 30, 2017 at 12:52 pm

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Expected DA from January 2018 – DA would be 3% ?

Expected DA from January 2018 –  DA would be 3% ?

We have calculated the expected DA from January 2018 with different Scenarios, but most of the calculations comes around only 3 percent increase, lets us see the scenarios here

Scenario 1

In case the AICPIN value increase by 3 point for next FIVE months (example AUG 288, SEP 291, OCT 294, NOV 297, DEC 300,), then DA would be 3% (8.81-5 =3)

Scenario 2

In case the AICPIN value increase by 3 point for next FIVE months (example AUG 289, SEP 293, OCT 297, NOV 301, DEC 305) then DA would be 4% (9.28-5 =4)

EXPECTED-da-jan-2018-AICPIN

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Expected DA from January 2018 – AICPIN for the month of July 2017, 5 Points Increased (285)

AICPIN for the month of July 2017 – 5 Points Increased (285)

Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) – July 2017

The All India CPI-IW for July, 2017 increased by 5 points and pegged at 285.

The Index increased by 1.79% between June, 2017 and July, 2017 when compared with the increase of 1.08% for the corresponding months of last year.

No. 5/1/2017-CPI
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF LABOUR & EMPLOYMENT
LABOUR BUREAU
CLEREMONT, SHIMLA-171004

DATED: 31st August, 2017

Press Release

Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) – July 2017

The All-India CPI-IW for July, 2017 increased by 5 points and pegged at 285 (two hundred and eighty five). In terms of monthly change, it increased by (+) 1.79 per cent between June, 2017 and July, 2017 when compared with the increase of (+) 1.08 per cent for the corresponding months of last year.

 The maximum upward pressure to the change in current index came from Food group contributing (+) 3.12 percentage points to the total change. The House Rent index further accentuated the overall index by (+) 0.70 percentage points. At item level, Rice, Pure Ghee, Chillies (Green), Onion, Bitter Gourd, Brinjal, Gourd, Lady’s Finger, Palak, Parwal, Potato, Pumpkin, Tomato, Torai, Banana, Cucumber, Mango, Tea (Readymade), Bidi, Cooking Gas, Kerosene Oil, etc. are responsible for the increase in index. However, this increase was checked by Wheat, Arhar Dal, Masur Dal, Urd Dal, Coconut Oil, Mustard Oil, Poultry (Chicken), Coconut, Lemon, Petrol, etc., putting downward pressure on the index.

The year-on-year inflation measured by monthly CPI-IW stood at 1.79 per cent for July, 2017 as compared to 1.08 per cent for the previous month and 6.46 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year. Similarly, the Food inflation stood at (-) 0.32 per cent against (-) 1.28 per cent of the previous month and 9.34 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year.

At centre level, Jamshedpur reported the maximum increase of 12 points followed by Delhi and Ranchi-Hatia (11 points each), Raniganj and Jaipur (10 points each) and Varanasi and Amritsar (9 points each). Among others, 8 points increase was observed in 2 centres, 7 points in 7 centres, 6 points in 7 centres, 5 points in 11 centres, 4 points in 10 centres, 3 points in 13 centres, 2 points in 9 centres and 1 point in 5 centres. On the contrary, Goa recorded a decrease of 1 point. Rest of the 6 centres indices remained stationary.

The indices of 34 centres are above All-India Index and 42 centres indices are below national average. The indices of Amritsar and Lucknow centres remained at par with All-India Index.

The next issue of CPI-IW for the month of August, 2017 will be released on Friday, 29th September, 2017. The same will also be available on the office website www.labourbureaunew.gov.in.

(SHYAM SINGH NEGI)

DEPUTY DIRECTOR GENERAL

AICPIN-EXPECTED-DA-FROM-January-2018

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AICPIN for the month of June 2017

AICPIN for the month of June 2017

Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI_IW) – June 2017

The All India CPI_IW for June, 2017 increased by two points and pegged at 280.

No.5/1/2017-CPI
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF LABOUR & EMPLOYMENT
LABOUR BUREAU

‘CLEREMONT’, SHIMLA-171004
DATED: 31st July, 2017

Press Release

Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) – June, 2017

The All-India CPI-IW for June, 2017 increased by 2 points and pegged at 280 (two hundred and eighty). On 1-month percentage change, it increased by (+) 0.72 per cent between May, 2017 and June, 2017 when compared with the increase of (+) 0.73 per cent between the same two months a year ago.

The maximum upward pressure to the change in current index came from Food group contributing (+) 2.59 percentage points to the total change. At item level, Rice, Wheat, Fish Fresh, Eggs (Hen), Poultry (Chicken), Milk, Pure Ghee, Chillies Green, Onion, Brinjal, Cabbage, Cauliflower, Gourd, Green Coriander Leaves, Palak, Potato, Radish, Tomato, Torai, Coconut, Cooking Gas, Medicine (Allopathic), Toilet Soap, Tailoring Charges, etc. are responsible for the increase in index. However, this increase was checked by Arhar Dal, Masur Dal, Groundnut Oil, Mustard Oil, Chillies Dry, French Beans, Electricity Charges, Petrol, Flower/Flower Garlands, etc., putting downward pressure on the index.

The year-on-year inflation measured by monthly CPI-IW stood at 1.08 per cent for June, 2017 as compared to 1.09 per cent for the previous month and 6.13 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year. Similarly, the Food inflation stood at (-) 1.28 per cent against (-) 1.63 per cent of the previous month and 8.33 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year.

At centre level, Lucknow reported the maximum increase of 8 points followed by Agra (7 points) and Rajkot, Madurai, Varanasi, Quilon and Surat (6 points each). Among others, 5 points increase was observed in 8 centres, 4 points in 8 centres, 3 points in 9 centres, 2 points in 15 centres and 1 point in 13 centres. On the contrary, Darjeeling, Tripura, Belgaum, Rangapara-Tezpur and Chandigarh recorded maximum decrease of 2 points each followed by 1 point decrease in Guwahati. Rest of the 12 centres’ indices remained stationary.

The indices of 33 centres are above All-India Index and other 45 centres’ indices are below national average.

The next issue of CPI-IW for the month of July, 2017 will be released on Thursday, 31st August, 2017. The same will also be available on the office website www.labourbureaunew.gov.in.

(SHYAM SINGH NEGI)
DEPUTY DIRECTOR GENERAL

expected-da-july-2017-is-over

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AICPIN for the month of May 2017 – Expected DA Almost Final!

AICPIN for the month of May 2017 – Expected DA Almost Final!

All India Consumer Price Index for the month of May 2017

The official Press Release has been released by the Labour Bureau today on its official portal, the index has increased by one point and stands at 278. Expected Dearness Allowance and Dearness Relief for Central Government Employees and Pensioners is almost decided to hike by 1 percent with effect from 1st July 2017. The total DA and DR from 1.7.2017 may be revised as 5%.

The image of the Press Release is given below for your further reference…

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AICPIN for the month of April 2017

AICPIN for the month of April 2017

AICPIN
No. 5/1/2017-CPI
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF LABOUR & EMPLOYMENT
LABOUR BUREAU

CLEREMONT, SHIMLA-171004
DATED: 31st May, 2017

Press Release

Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) – April, 2017

The All-India CPI-IW for April, 2017 increased by 2 points and pegged at 277 (two hundred and seventy seven). On 1-month percentage change, it increased by (+) 0.73 per cent between March, 2017 and April, 2017 when compared with the increase of (+) 1.12 per cent between the same two months a year ago.

The maximum upward pressure to the change in current index came from Food group contributing (+) 1.21 percentage points to the total change. At item level, Rice, Goat Meat, Milk, Pure Ghee, Onion, Brinjal, Cabbage, Carrot, Cauliflower, French Beans, Gourd, Green Coriander Leaves, Methi, Palak, Peas, Potato, Radish, Banana, Apple, Husk Melon, Lemon, Mango, Tea (Readymade), Cooking Gas, Kerosene Oil, Medicine (Allopathic), Toilet Soap, Barber Charges, Washing Soap, Tailoring Charges, etc. are responsible for the increase in index. However, this increase was checked by Wheat, Wheat Atta, Arhar Dal, Mustard Oil, Eggs (Hen), Chillies Dry, Garlic, Lady’s Finger, Parwal, Tomato, Torai, Petrol, Flower/Flower Garlands, etc., putting downward pressure on the index.

The year-on-year inflation measured by monthly CPI-IW stood at 2.21 per cent for April, 2017 as compared to 2.61 per cent for the previous month and 5.86 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year. Similarly, the Food inflation stood at 0.67 per cent against 1.71 per cent of the previous month and 7.55 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year.

At centre level, Tiruchirapally reported the maximum increase of 10 points followed by Marcara (6 points) and Rourkela, Doom-Dooma Tinsukia, Mariani-Jorhat, Rangapara-Tezpur, Angul-Talcher and Mundakkayam (5 points each). Among others, 4 points increase was observed in 2 centres, 3 points in 17 centres, 2 points in 12 centres and 1 point in 14 centres. On the contrary, Himachal Pradesh and Quilon recorded maximum decrease of 5 points each. Among others, 3 points decrease was observed in 1 centre, 2 points in 2 centres and 1 point in 7 centres. Rest of the 13 centres’ indices remained stationary.

The indices of 34 centres are above All-India Index and other 44 centres’ indices are below national average.

The next issue of CPI-IW for the month of May, 2017 will be released on Friday, 30th June, 2017. The same will also be available on the office website www.labourbureaunew.gov.in.

(SHYAM SINGH NEGI)
DEPUTY DIRECTOR GENERAL

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AICPIN for the month January 2017

AICPIN for the month January 2017

Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) for the month of January 2017.

The Labour Bureau today published the statistical index of CPI-IW for the calculation purpose of Dearness Allowance and Dearness Relief for the existing and retired employees of Central Government. This Consumer Price Index also used for the calculation of Dearness Allowance for Workmen and Officers Employees in Banks.

The All-India CPI-IW for January 2017 decreased by one point and stood at 274.

For more details, Click the link to view the Press Release

Be the first to comment - What do you think?  Posted by admin - February 28, 2017 at 10:06 pm

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AICPIN for the month of December 2016

AICPIN for the month of December 2016

No. 5/1/2014- CPI
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF LABOUR & EMPLOYMENT
LABOUR BUREAU

CLEREMONT, SHIMLA-171004
DATED: 31st January, 2017

 Press Release

Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW)-December, 2016

The All-India CPI-IW for December, 2016 by 2 points and stood 275 (two hundred and seventy five). On 1-month percentage change, it decreased by (-) 0.72 per cent November and December, 2016 when compared with the decease of (-) 0.37 per cent between the same two months a year ago.

The maximum downward pressure to the change in current index came from Food group conuibuting (-) 2.74 percentage points to the total change. At item level, Arhar Dal, Gram Dal, Masur Dal, Urd Dal, Groundnut Oil, Muslard Oil, Chillies Green, Ginzer, Brinjal, Cabbage, Carrot, Cauliflower, French Beans, Gourd, Green Coriander Leaves, Methi, Palak, Peas, Potato, Radish, Tomato, Banana, Lemon, etc. are responsible for the decrease in index. However, this decrease checked by Rice, Wheal, Wheat Alta, Coconut OiL Fish Fresh, Goat Meat, Milk Snack Saltish, Cooking Gas, ESI Premium Contribution, Petrol, Flowe/Flower Garlands, Toilet Soap, etc., putting upward on the index.

The year-on-year inflation measured by monthly CPI-IW stood at 2.23 per cent for December, 2016 as compared to 2.59 per cent for the pervious month and 6.32 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year. Similarly, the Food inflation stood at 0.67 per cent against 1.66 per cent of the previous month and 7.94 per cent during the corresponding month or the previous year.

At centre level, Rourkela reported the maximum decrease or 10 points followed by Vadodara (9 points), Nagpur and Lucknow (8 points each) and Amritsar, Varanasi and Monger Jamalpur (6 points each). Among others, 5 points decrease was observed in 7 centres, 4 points in 12 centres, 3 points in 9 centres, 2 points in 15 centres and 1 point in 10 centres. On the contrary, Quilon recorded maximum increase of 6 points followed by Ernakulam and Mundakkayam (3 points each). Among others, 2 points increase was observed in 4 centres and 1 point in 4 centres. Rest or the 7 centres indices remained stationary.

The indices or centres are above All-India Index and other 43 centres indices are below national average. The index or Vishakhapathnam centre remained at par with All-India Index. The next or CPI-IW fer the month of January, 2017 will be released on Tuesday, 28th February, 2017. The same will also be available on the office website www.labourbureaunew.gov.in

sd/-
(SHYAM SINGH NEGI)
DEPUTY DIRECTOR GENERAL

Authority: www.labourbureaunew.gov.in

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DA from January 2017 will be 4% or 5% – Dearness Allowance Estimation

DA from January 2017 will be 4% or 5% – Dearness Allowance Estimation

DA from January 2017 will be 4% or 5% based on Consumer Price Index (Industrial Workers) from January 2016 to December 2016 – Net increase in DA with effect from January 2017 is estimated to be 2% or 3%

All India Consumer Price Index (Industrial Workers) for the month of November 2016 has been released by Ministry of Labour few days back.

What do we need for estimating DA from January 2017 ?

After implementation of 7th Pay Commission report, same inflation index i.e Consumer Price Index (Industrial Workers) with base year 2001=100, which was used for 6th Pay Commission Pay, is adopted for determining Dearness Allowance of Central Government Employees and Pensioners.

The only difference in DA calculation as far as DA from January 2016 will be, will be taking the Average of CPI-IW recorded in 2015 in the place of Average of CPI-IW recorded in 2005 which was used in 6th CPC DA calculation

Dearness Allowance payable after implementation of 7th Pay Commission = (Avg of CPI-IW for the past 12 months – Average of CPI-IW recorded in 2015)*100/(Average of CPI-IW recorded in 2015)

In order to determine DA with effect from January 2017, based on the above formula we need Consumer Price Index for the months from January 2016 to December 2016

Now that Consumer Price Index for the months from January 2016 to November 2016 is available, we have made an attempt to estimate Dearness Allowance applicable to Central Government Employees and Pensioners with effect from 1st January 2016, by assuming the possible CPI (IW) for the month of December 2016.

Month Actual AICPI-IW
Jan-2016 269
Feb-2016 267
Mar-2016 268
Apr-2016 271
May-2016 275
Jun-2016 277
Jul-2016 280
Aug-2016 278
Sep-2016 277
Oct-2016 278
Nov-2016 277
Dec-2016 Yet to be released

Estimation of DA from 1st January 2017:

Scenario 1 : No increase in AICPI (IW) in December 2016

AICPI (IW) for November 2016 is 277. If AICPI (IW) for December 2016 remains the same as November 2016, there will be additional 1% increase in DA from January 2017 which would make overall DA as 5%.

DA with effect from 1st January 2017 = [ (269+267+268+271+
275+277+280+278+
277+278+277+277)/12]-(261.4)
X100/261.4
= 5 %

Scenario 2: Decrease in AICPI (IW) in December 2016

Even if All India Consumer Price Index (Industrial Workers) decreases by 31 point and pegged at 246 in the month of December 2016, DA from January 2017 will be 4% . At the same time even for 1 point decrease in the index for December 2016 will result in lesser DA increase from January 2017 compared to Sceanrio 1 in which index is unaltered in Dec 2016.

DA with effect from 1st January 2017 = [ (269+267+268+271+
275+277+280+278+
277+278+277+246)/12]-(261.4)
X100/261.4
= 4 %
DA with effect from 1st January 2017 = [ (269+267+268+271+
275+277+280+278+
277+278+277+276)/12]-(261.4)
X100/261.4
= 4 %

Scenario 3 : Increase in AICPI (IW) in December 2016

It is very interesting to note here that, even for increase in consumer price index in the month of December up to 31 points, i.e Increase in AICPI (IW) for December 2016 to 308 points from 277 points in November 2016, DA from January 2017 will be 5% only.

DA with effect from 1st January 2017 = [ (269+267+268+271+
275+277+280+278+277+
278+277+308)/12]-(261.4)
X100/261.4
= 5 %

The other scenario that increase of more than 31 points in AICPI (IW) in the month of December 2016 for making DA with effect from January 2017 more than 5% is most unlikely.

Hence, it is more logical to conclude that DA from January 2017 will be either 4% or 5%.

Be the first to comment - What do you think?  Posted by admin - January 3, 2017 at 6:14 pm

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Expected DA from Jan 2017 : AICPIN for November 2016

Expected DA from Jan 2017 : AICPIN for November 2016

Press Release

Consumer Price Index Numbers for Industrial Workers on Base 2001=100

CPI(IW) Base 2001=100 Monthly Index Letter – November 2016

JANUARY 2016 269
FEBRUARY 2016 267
MARCH 2016 268
APRIL 2016 271
MAY 2016 275
JUNE 2016 277
JULY 2016 280
AUGUST 2016 278
SEPTEMBER 2016 277
OCTOBER 2016 278
NOVEMBER 2016 277
DECEMBER 2016

No. 5/1/2016 – CPI
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF LABOUR & EMPLOYMENT
LABOUR BUREAU

CLEREMONT, SHIMLA-171004
DATED: 30th December, 2016

Press Release

Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) – November, 2016

The All-India CPI-IW for November, 2016 decreased by 1 point and stood at 277 (two hundred and seventy seven). On 1-month percentage change, it decreased by (-) 0.36 per cent between October and November, 2016 when compared with the increase of (+) 0.37 per cent between the same two months a year ago.

The maximum downward pressure to the change in current index came from Food group contributing (-) 1.33 percentage points to the total change. At item level, Rice, Arhar Dal, Moong Dal, Urd Dal, Groundnut Oil, Chillies Green, Banana, Brinjal, Cabbage, Cauliflower, French Beans, Gourd, Green Coriander Leaves, Lady’s Finger, Methi, Palak, Potato, Radish, Tomato, etc. are responsible for the decrease in index. However, this decrease was checked by Wheat, Wheat Atta, Gram Dal, Goat Meat, Tea (Readymade), Cooking Gas, Electricity Charges, Petrol, Toilet Soap, etc., putting upward pressure on the index.

The year-on-year inflation measured by monthly CPI-IW stood at 2.59 per cent for November, 2016 as compared to 3.35 per cent for the previous month and 6.72 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year. Similarly, the Food inflation stood at 1.66 per cent against 2.99 per cent of the previous month and 7.86 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year.

At centre level, Salem reported the maximum decrease of 10 points followed by Bokaro (9 points), Raniganj and Kolkata (6 points each) and Ahmedabad (5 points). Among others, 4 points decrease was observed in 2 centres, 3 points in 8 centres, 2 points in 8 centres and 1 point in 15 centres. On the contrary, Jaipur recorded a maximum increase of 6 points followed by Rourkela and Srinagar (3 points each). Among others, 2 points increase was observed in 5 centres and 1 point in 7 centres. Rest of the 25 centres’ indices remained stationary.

The indices of 35 centres are above All-India Index and other 40 centres’ indices are below national average. The index of Jabalpur, Vishakhapathnam and Ludhiana centres remained at par with All-India Index.

The next issue of CPI-IW for the month of December, 2016 will be released on Tuesday, 31st January, 2017. The same will also be available on the office website www.labourbureaunew.gov.in.

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AICPIN for October 2016

AICPIN for October 2016 : All-India Average Consumer Price Index Numbers for Industrial Workers (Base 2001=100)

Item General Index
Jan-16 269
Feb-16 267
Mar-16 268
Apr-16 271
May-16 275
Jun-16 277
Jul-16 280
Aug-16 278
Sep-16 277
Oct-16 278
Nov-16
Dec-16
Average

Be the first to comment - What do you think?  Posted by admin - December 2, 2016 at 10:18 pm

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Expected DA from Jan 2017 : AICPIN for September 2016

All India Consumer Price Index Numbers for the month of Sep, 2016 released.

The Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers Base Year 2001=100 for the month of September 2016 has been released by the Labour Bureau today through its official web portal. The index decreased by one point and stands at 277.

aicpin-sep-2016

No.5/1/2016- CPI
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF LABOUR & EMPLOYMENT
LABOUR BUREAU

CLEREMONT, SHIMLA-171004
DATED: 31st October, 2016

Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) – September, 2016

The All-India CPI-IW for September, 2016 decreased by 1 point and stood at 277 (two hundred and seventy seven). On I-month percentage change, it decreased by (-) 0.36 per cent between August and September, 2016 when compared with the increase of(+) 0.76 per cent between the same two months a year ago.

The maximum downward pressure to the change in current index came from Food group contributing (-) 1.17 percentage points to the total change. At item level, Arhar Dal, Moong Dal, Masur Dal, Urd Dal, Fish Fresh, Eggs (Hen), Poultry (Chicken), Chillies Green, Onion, Brinjal, Cabbage, Carrot, Gourd, Green Coriander Leaves, Potato, Pumpkin, Tomato, Apple, Banana, Medicine (Allopathic), etc. are responsible for the decrease in index. However, this decrease was checked by Wheat, Wheat Atta, Gram Dal, Mustard Oil, Cauliflower, Parval, Radish, Coconut, Lemon,
Tea (Readymade), Snack Saltish, Private Tuition Fee, Petrol, etc.

The year-on-year inflation measured by monthly CPI-IW stood at 4.14 per cent for September, 2016 as compared to 5.30 per cent for the previous month and 5.14 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year. Similarly, the Food inflation stood at 4.05 per cent against 6.16 per cent of the previous month and 5.71 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year.

At centre level, Belgaum, Rajkot, Mumbai and Ahmedabad reported the maximum decrease of 4 points each followed by Ludhiana, Madurai, Agra, Chennai, Warrangal, Bhilwara and Surat (3 points each). Among others, 2 points decrease was observed in 12 centres and 1 point in 18 centres. On the contrary, Angul-Talcher recorded a maximum increase of 7 points followed by Howarah and Amritsar (3 points each). Among others, 2 points increase was observed in 8′ centres and 1 point in 7 centres. Rest of the 19 centres indices remained stationary.

The indices of 33 centres are above All-India Index and other 41 centres. indices are below national average. The indices of Jabalpur, LucknQw, Pune and Bhopal centres remained at par with All-India Index.

The next issue of CPI-IW for the month of October, 2016 will be released on Wednesday, 30th November, 2016. The same will also be available on the office website www.labourbureaunew.gov.in.

(SHYAM SINGH NEGI)
DEPUTY DIRECTOR GENERAL

Click here to view the Press Release

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DA Calculation with AICPIN: Labour Bureau released Index for August 2016

DA Calculation with AICPIN: Labour Bureau released Index for August 2016

Consumer Price Index Numbers for Industrial Workers on Base 2001=100

CPI(IW) Base 2001=100 Monthly Index Letter : August 2016

Month / Year CPI(IW)
JANUARY 2016 269
FEBRUARY 2016 267
MARCH 2016 268
APRIL 2016 271
MAY 2016 275
JUNE 2016 277
JULY 2016 280
AUGUST 2016 278

The All India CPI-IW for August, 2016 decreased by 2 points and pegged at 278 (two hundred and seventy eight). On 1 month percentage change, it decreased by (-) 0.71 per cent between July, 2016 and August, 2016 when compared with the increase of (+) 0.38 per cent between the same two months a year ago.

Click here for press note

Authority: http://labourbureau.nic.in/

Be the first to comment - What do you think?  Posted by admin - October 1, 2016 at 7:30 am

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DA & Linking Factor : What is expected? : DA Announcement and linking factor explored

DA & Linking Factor  What’s expected?  DA Announcement and linking factor explored.

As you all know that DA is calculated based on AICPIN.

AICPIN is calculated based on the inflation and the cost of living in various cities. So, what’s going to happen in 7th Pay Commission, let’s read.

In Pay Commission III, the base year was used as (1960 =100).

In 4th Pay Commission, the DA was decided to pay twice a year and also for calculating the DA value the percentage increase in the 12 monthly average of All India Consumer Price Index (base 1960). Also the base year was (1982=100) as the base year.

In 5th Pay Commission, the DA was decided based on (1982=100) as the base year.

In 6th Pay Commission, the DA was decided based on (2001=100) as the base year.

In 7th Pay Commission, should we expect to have the base year as (2011=100)?

When the DA calculation change happened from base year 1982 to base year as 2001, there were a steep increase in the DA percentage, this is because the cost of living has increased multifold and also various cities and items was also included while calculating the real DA.

So, what’s been recommend in the 7th CPC Report

Keeping in mind that the present formulation of DA has worked well over the years, and there are no demands for its alteration, the Commission recommends continuance of the existing formula and methodology for calculating the Dearness Allowance.

and also check out the gazette notification changes where the linking factor has been included as on AICPIN value as 2016.

IV. Dearness Allowance

Sl.No. Recommendation of the Seventh Central Pay Commission Decision of the Chief Justice of India
1. Existing formula and methodology for calculating Dearness Allowance to continue (Para 8.17.37 of the Report) Accepted. The reference base for calculation of Dearness Allowance after coming into force of the revised Pay Structure shall undergo change accordingly and will be linked to the average index as on 01.01.2016

Though in (2001=100) the linking factor was 4.63, this lead to the calculation of DA with the average index as 115.76 as per 2005. For example, (2005 , 12 Month Average Index  536, so the linking factor as per record was 4.63).

All India and Centre-wise Linking factors between New Series of Consumer Price Index Numbers for Industrial Workers on base 2001 = 100 and the previous series on base 1982=100 (General Index).

Table No. 9.01

GROUP WISE LINKING FACTORS BETWEEN CURRENT SERIES OF ALL INDIA CONSUMER PRICE INDEX NUMBERS
FOR INDUSTRIAL WORKERS ON BASE: 2001 = 100 AND THE PREVIOUS SERIES ON BASE: 1982 = 100

Group Linking Factor
I-A Food Group 4.58
I-B Pan. Supari, Tobacco & Intoxicants 6.16
II Fuel & Light 4.77
III Housing 6.18
IV Clothing. Bedding & Footwear 3.22
V Miscellaneous 4.55
GENERAL INDEX 4.63

Note: Figures on previous base 1982 = 100 can be obtained by multiplying the Index Number on current base 2001 = 100 by the linking factor and rounding off the result to the nearest whole number.

As you all now understand that the linking factor play a major role in getting the DA value, but the linking factor for year 2016 .

I was not able to find this data in Labour Bureau . We assume that if the linking factor of 2016 used, then we expect to get a higher DA percentage (assumption). This means it would be a real DA value as it would include various cities and the current inflation and CPI.

We hope that when the results are out they would be using the linking factor of 2016 as the gazette notification has this mentioned. Normally the DA announcement is release in September 1st week or 2nd week and hope this is announced shortly.

Source :  7thpaycommissionnews.com

Be the first to comment - What do you think?  Posted by admin - September 27, 2016 at 10:34 am

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