Posts Tagged ‘AICPIN’

Expected DA from January 2018: Confirm 7th CPC DA @ 7% & Expected 6th CPC @ 143% – CPI(IW) Index of Oct, 17 released

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Expected DA from January 2018: Confirm 7th CPC DA @ 7% & Expected 6th CPC @ 143% – CPI(IW) Index of Oct, 17 released

All India Consumer Price(Industrial Workers) Index Number [CPI(IW)] of Oct, 2017 has been released yesterday by Labour Bureau and increased by 2 points and pegged at 287 (two hundred and eighty seven). With this increase 7th CPC Dearness Allowance/Dearness Relief for Central Govt Employees and Pensioner w.e.f. the month from January, 2018 will be 7% with 2% increase in July, 2017 DA/DR. On the other hand the 6th CPC DA speculated to be 143% with 4% increase in present DA Rate.

The speculation of month of Sept, 2017 while 5 points increase in All India Consumer Price(Industrial Workers) Index Number [CPI(IW)] of July, 2017 was indicating 7% 7th CPC Dearness Allowance with 2% increase & 142% 6th CPC DA with 3% increase in 6th CPC Dearness Allowance from January, 2018 has comes true after 3 months.

Only two months index is to be needed to give the calculated figure for the January, 2018 DA/DR but the confirm speculation is being given through the undermentioned table. The undermentioned speculations are checking the Expected DA 2018 by extreme up and down level of CPI(IW) Number. A major ups and down in index will give the confirm 7% 7th CPC DA and a minor change will give variation in 6th CPC DA as 142% or 143%. Have a look on expected DA table:

expected-da-january-2018

 Expected DA from Jan, 2018: ACPIN (IW) for Oct, 2017 released – 2 Points increased

No. 5/1/2017-CPI
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF LABOUR & EMPLOYMENT
LABOUR BUREAU

‘CLEREMONT’, SHIMLA-171004
DATED: 30th November, 2017

Press Release

Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) – October, 2017

The All-India CPI-IW for October, 2017 increased by 2 points and pegged at 287 (two hundred and eighty seven). On l-month percentage change, it increased by (+)0.70 per cent between September, 2017 and October, 2017 when compared with the increase of (+) 0.36 per cent for the corresponding months of last year.

The maximum upward pressure to the change in current index came from Food group contributing (+) 1.94 percentage points to the total change. At item level, Rice, Milk (Buffalo), Onion, Bitter Gourd, Brinjal, Cabbage, Cauliflower, Carrot, Gourd, Coconut, French Beans, Green Coriander Leaves, Lady’s Finger, Parval, Potato, Tomato, Torai, Cigarette, Cooking Gas, Doctor’s Fee, Cinema Charges, Repair Charges, Tailoring Charges, etc. are responsible for the increase in index. However, this increase was checked by Arhar Dal, Fish Fresh, Poultry (Chicken), Chillies Green, Peas, Apple, Banana, Orange, Petrol, etc., putting downward pressure on the index.

The year-on-year inflation measured by monthly CPI-IW stood at 3.24 per cent for October, 2017 as compared to 2.89 per cent for the previous month and 3.35 percent during the corresponding month of the previous year. Similarly, the Food inflation stood at 2.26 per cent against 1.30 per cent of the previous month and 2.99 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year.

At centre level, Darjeeling and Tiruchirapally reported the maximum increase of (10 points each) followed by Munger-Jamalpur (8 points) and Puducherry (7 points). Among others, 6 points increase was observed in 2 centres, 5 points in 8 centres, 4 points in 7 centres, 3 points in 8 centres, 2 points in 19 centres and 1 point in 14 centres. On the contrary, Mercara recorded a maximum decrease of 4 points. followed by Goa and Bhavnagar (3 points each). Among others, 2 points decrease was observed in l centre and 1 point in another 6 centres. Rest of the 6 centres’ indices remained stationary.

The indices of 33 centres are above All-India Index and 43 centres’ indices are below national average. The indices of Madurai and Amritsar centres remained at par with All-India Index.

The next issue of CPHW for the month of November, 2017 will be released on Friday, 29th December, 2017. The same will also be available on the office website www.labourbureaunew. gov. in.

(AMRIT LAL JANGID)

DEPUTY DIRECTOR

PIB

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Categories: 7CPC, Dearness Allowance, Expected DA   Tags: , , , , , , , , ,

Consumer Price Index Numbers on Base 2012=100 for Rural, Urban and Combined for the month of October 2017

Consumer Price Index Numbers on Base 2012=100 for Rural, Urban and Combined for the month of October 2017

The Central Statistics Office (CSO), Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation has revised the Base Year of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) from 2010=100 to 2012=100 with effect from the release of indices for the month of January 2015.

2. In this press note, the CPI (Rural, Urban, Combined) on Base 2012=100 is being released for the month of October 2017. In addition to this, Consumer Food Price Index (CFPI) for all India Rural, Urban and Combined are also being released for October 2017. All India Inflation rates (on point to point basis i.e. current month over same month of last year, i.e., October 2017 over October 2016), based on General Indices and CFPIs are given as follows:

All India Inflation rates (%) based on CPI (General) and CFPI

Note: Figures of October 2017 are provisional.

4. Provisional indices for the month of October 2017 and also the final indices for September 2017 are being released with this note for all-India and for State/UTs. All-India provisional General (all-groups), Group and Sub-group level CPI and CFPI numbers for October 2017 for Rural, Urban and Combined are given in Annexure I. The inflation rates of important categories of items are given in Annexure II. State/UT wise provisional General CPI numbers for Rural, Urban and Combined are given in Annexure III. Inflation rates of major States, having population more than 50 lakhs as per population Census 2011, are given in Annexure IV. State/UT–wise Group CPIs are available on the Ministry’s website (www.mospi.gov.in).

5. Price data are collected from selected towns by the Field Operations Division of NSSO and from selected villages by the Department of Posts. Price data are received through web portals, maintained by the National Informatics Centre.

Next date of release: 12th December 2017 (Tuesday) for November 2017.

Authority: http://www.mospi.gov.in/

Be the first to comment - What do you think?  Posted by admin - November 14, 2017 at 7:00 pm

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Expected DA From Jan 2018 – AICPIN for the Month of September 2017

Expected DA From Jan 2018 – AICPIN for the Month of September 2017

AICPIN for the Month of September 2017

 

No.5/1/2017-CPI
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF LABOUR & EMPLOYMENT
LABOUR BUREAU

CLEREMONT, SHIMLA-171004
DATED: 31st October, 2017

Press Release

 Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) – September, 2017

 

The All-India CPI-IW for September, 2017 remained stationary at 285 (two hundred and eighty five). On 1-month percentage change, it remained static between August, 2017 and September, 2017 when compared with the decrease of (-) 0.36 per cent for the corresponding months of last year.

 

The maximum downward pressure to the change in current index came from Food group contributing (-) 1.26 percentage points to the total change. At item level, Fish Fresh, Onion, Bitter Gourd, Brinjal, Carrot, Gourd, Lady’s Finger, Potato, Tomato, Torai, Cucumber, Apple, Banana, etc. are responsible for the decrease in index. However, this decrease was checked by Rice, Wheat Atta, Arhar Dal, Coconut Oil, Poultry (Chicken), Chillies Green, Cauliflower, Green Coriander Leaves, Peas, Coconut, Bidi, Cigarette, Cooking Gas, Petrol, Tailoring Charges, etc., putting downward pressure on the index.

 

The year-on-year inflation measured by monthly CPI-IW stood at 2.89 per cent for September, 2017 as compared to 2.52 per cent for the previous month and 4.14 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year. Similarly, the Food inflation stood at (+) 1.30 per cent against (+) 1.61 per cent of the previous month and 4.05 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year.

 

At centre level, Tiruchirapally, Varanasi, Lucknow, Quilon and Salem reported the maximum decrease of 4 points each followed by Giridih, Bhilwara, Raniganj, Bengaluru, Faridabad, Vishakhapathnam, Jamshedpur and Haldia (3 points each). Among others, 2 points decrease was observed in 12 centres and 1 point in 18 centres. On the contrary, Tripura recorded a maximum increase of 7 points followed by Bhilai (6 points), Siliguri and Doom-Dooma Tinsukia (5 points each). Among others, 4 points increase was observed in 2 centres, 3 points in 2 centres, 2 points in 4 centres and 1 point in 10 centres. Rest of the 13 centres indices remained stationary.

 

The indices of 44 centres are below All-India Index and 33 centres indices are above national average. The index of Tiruchirapally centre remained at par with All-India Index. The next issue of CPI-IW for the month of October, 2017 will be released on Thursday, 30th November, 2017. The same will also be available on the office website WWW. labourbureaunew.gov.in.

 

(AMRIT LAL JANGID)
DEPUTY DIRECTOR

 

PIB

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AICPIN for August 2017 – Expected DA from January 2018

AICPIN for August 2017 – Expected DA from January 2018

The AICPIN (All India Consumer Price Index) for Industrial Workers Base Year 2001=100 for August, 2017 remained stationary at 285 (two hundred and eighty five).

No.5/1/2017-CPI
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF LABOUR & EMPLOYMENT
LABOUR BUREAU

‘CLEREMONT’, SHIMLA-171004
DATED: 29th September, 2017

PRESS RELEASE

Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) – August, 2017

The All-India CPI-IW for August, 2017 remained stationary at 285 (two hundred and eighty five). On 1-month percentage change, it remained static between July, 2017 and August, 2017 when compared with the decrease of (-) 0.71 per cent for the corresponding months of last year.

The maximum upward pressure to the change in current index came from Miscellaneous group contributing (+) 0.37 percentage points to the total change. At item level, Rice, Coconut Oil, Pure Ghee, Onion, Brinjal, Cabbage, Poi Sag, Pumpkin, Banana, Coconut, Mango, Tea (Readymade), Snack Saltish, Bide, Cinema Charges, Petrol, Flower/Flower Garlands, etc. are responsible for the increase in index. However, this increase was checked by Wheat, Wheat Atta, Masur Dal, Fish Fresh, Poultry (Chicken), Carrot, French Beans, Green Coriander Leaves, Methi, Peas, Tomato, Torai, etc., putting downward pressure on the index.

The year-on-year inflation measured by monthly CPI-IW stood at 2.52 per cent for August, 2017 as compared to 1.79 per cent for the previous month and 5.30 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year. Similarly, the Food inflation stood at (+) 1.61 per cent against (-) 0.32 per cent of the previous month and 6.16 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year.

At centre level, Jalpaiguri reported the maximum increase of 11 points followed by Jalandhar and Rourkela (8 points each), Chhindwara (6 points) and Chandigarh and Vishakhapathnam (5 points each). Among others, 4 points increase was observed in 3 centres, 3 points in 7 centres, 2 points in 14 centres and 1 point in 16 centres. On the contrary, Coonoor recorded a maximum decrease of 6 points followed by Lucknow (4 points) and Mundakkayam, Chennai and Puducherry (3 points each). Among others, 2 points decrease was observed in 6 centres and 1 point in 5 centres. Rest of the 16 centres’ indices remained stationary.

The indices of 35 centres are above All-India Index and 42 centres’ indices are below national average. The indices of Vishakhapathnam centre remained at par with All-India Index.

The next issue of CPI-IW for the month of September, 2017 will be released on Tuesday, 31st October, 2017. The same will also be available on the office website www.labourbureaunew.gov.in.

sd/-
(AMRIT LALJANGID)
DEPUTY DIRECTOR

Click to view the Press Release

Authority: www.labourbureaunew.gov.in

Be the first to comment - What do you think?  Posted by admin - September 30, 2017 at 12:52 pm

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Expected DA from January 2018 – DA would be 3% ?

Expected DA from January 2018 –  DA would be 3% ?

We have calculated the expected DA from January 2018 with different Scenarios, but most of the calculations comes around only 3 percent increase, lets us see the scenarios here

Scenario 1

In case the AICPIN value increase by 3 point for next FIVE months (example AUG 288, SEP 291, OCT 294, NOV 297, DEC 300,), then DA would be 3% (8.81-5 =3)

Scenario 2

In case the AICPIN value increase by 3 point for next FIVE months (example AUG 289, SEP 293, OCT 297, NOV 301, DEC 305) then DA would be 4% (9.28-5 =4)

EXPECTED-da-jan-2018-AICPIN

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Expected DA from January 2018 – AICPIN for the month of July 2017, 5 Points Increased (285)

AICPIN for the month of July 2017 – 5 Points Increased (285)

Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) – July 2017

The All India CPI-IW for July, 2017 increased by 5 points and pegged at 285.

The Index increased by 1.79% between June, 2017 and July, 2017 when compared with the increase of 1.08% for the corresponding months of last year.

No. 5/1/2017-CPI
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF LABOUR & EMPLOYMENT
LABOUR BUREAU
CLEREMONT, SHIMLA-171004

DATED: 31st August, 2017

Press Release

Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) – July 2017

The All-India CPI-IW for July, 2017 increased by 5 points and pegged at 285 (two hundred and eighty five). In terms of monthly change, it increased by (+) 1.79 per cent between June, 2017 and July, 2017 when compared with the increase of (+) 1.08 per cent for the corresponding months of last year.

 The maximum upward pressure to the change in current index came from Food group contributing (+) 3.12 percentage points to the total change. The House Rent index further accentuated the overall index by (+) 0.70 percentage points. At item level, Rice, Pure Ghee, Chillies (Green), Onion, Bitter Gourd, Brinjal, Gourd, Lady’s Finger, Palak, Parwal, Potato, Pumpkin, Tomato, Torai, Banana, Cucumber, Mango, Tea (Readymade), Bidi, Cooking Gas, Kerosene Oil, etc. are responsible for the increase in index. However, this increase was checked by Wheat, Arhar Dal, Masur Dal, Urd Dal, Coconut Oil, Mustard Oil, Poultry (Chicken), Coconut, Lemon, Petrol, etc., putting downward pressure on the index.

The year-on-year inflation measured by monthly CPI-IW stood at 1.79 per cent for July, 2017 as compared to 1.08 per cent for the previous month and 6.46 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year. Similarly, the Food inflation stood at (-) 0.32 per cent against (-) 1.28 per cent of the previous month and 9.34 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year.

At centre level, Jamshedpur reported the maximum increase of 12 points followed by Delhi and Ranchi-Hatia (11 points each), Raniganj and Jaipur (10 points each) and Varanasi and Amritsar (9 points each). Among others, 8 points increase was observed in 2 centres, 7 points in 7 centres, 6 points in 7 centres, 5 points in 11 centres, 4 points in 10 centres, 3 points in 13 centres, 2 points in 9 centres and 1 point in 5 centres. On the contrary, Goa recorded a decrease of 1 point. Rest of the 6 centres indices remained stationary.

The indices of 34 centres are above All-India Index and 42 centres indices are below national average. The indices of Amritsar and Lucknow centres remained at par with All-India Index.

The next issue of CPI-IW for the month of August, 2017 will be released on Friday, 29th September, 2017. The same will also be available on the office website www.labourbureaunew.gov.in.

(SHYAM SINGH NEGI)

DEPUTY DIRECTOR GENERAL

AICPIN-EXPECTED-DA-FROM-January-2018

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AICPIN for the month of June 2017

AICPIN for the month of June 2017

Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI_IW) – June 2017

The All India CPI_IW for June, 2017 increased by two points and pegged at 280.

No.5/1/2017-CPI
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF LABOUR & EMPLOYMENT
LABOUR BUREAU

‘CLEREMONT’, SHIMLA-171004
DATED: 31st July, 2017

Press Release

Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) – June, 2017

The All-India CPI-IW for June, 2017 increased by 2 points and pegged at 280 (two hundred and eighty). On 1-month percentage change, it increased by (+) 0.72 per cent between May, 2017 and June, 2017 when compared with the increase of (+) 0.73 per cent between the same two months a year ago.

The maximum upward pressure to the change in current index came from Food group contributing (+) 2.59 percentage points to the total change. At item level, Rice, Wheat, Fish Fresh, Eggs (Hen), Poultry (Chicken), Milk, Pure Ghee, Chillies Green, Onion, Brinjal, Cabbage, Cauliflower, Gourd, Green Coriander Leaves, Palak, Potato, Radish, Tomato, Torai, Coconut, Cooking Gas, Medicine (Allopathic), Toilet Soap, Tailoring Charges, etc. are responsible for the increase in index. However, this increase was checked by Arhar Dal, Masur Dal, Groundnut Oil, Mustard Oil, Chillies Dry, French Beans, Electricity Charges, Petrol, Flower/Flower Garlands, etc., putting downward pressure on the index.

The year-on-year inflation measured by monthly CPI-IW stood at 1.08 per cent for June, 2017 as compared to 1.09 per cent for the previous month and 6.13 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year. Similarly, the Food inflation stood at (-) 1.28 per cent against (-) 1.63 per cent of the previous month and 8.33 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year.

At centre level, Lucknow reported the maximum increase of 8 points followed by Agra (7 points) and Rajkot, Madurai, Varanasi, Quilon and Surat (6 points each). Among others, 5 points increase was observed in 8 centres, 4 points in 8 centres, 3 points in 9 centres, 2 points in 15 centres and 1 point in 13 centres. On the contrary, Darjeeling, Tripura, Belgaum, Rangapara-Tezpur and Chandigarh recorded maximum decrease of 2 points each followed by 1 point decrease in Guwahati. Rest of the 12 centres’ indices remained stationary.

The indices of 33 centres are above All-India Index and other 45 centres’ indices are below national average.

The next issue of CPI-IW for the month of July, 2017 will be released on Thursday, 31st August, 2017. The same will also be available on the office website www.labourbureaunew.gov.in.

(SHYAM SINGH NEGI)
DEPUTY DIRECTOR GENERAL

expected-da-july-2017-is-over

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AICPIN for the month of May 2017 – Expected DA Almost Final!

AICPIN for the month of May 2017 – Expected DA Almost Final!

All India Consumer Price Index for the month of May 2017

The official Press Release has been released by the Labour Bureau today on its official portal, the index has increased by one point and stands at 278. Expected Dearness Allowance and Dearness Relief for Central Government Employees and Pensioners is almost decided to hike by 1 percent with effect from 1st July 2017. The total DA and DR from 1.7.2017 may be revised as 5%.

The image of the Press Release is given below for your further reference…

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AICPIN for the month of April 2017

AICPIN for the month of April 2017

AICPIN
No. 5/1/2017-CPI
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF LABOUR & EMPLOYMENT
LABOUR BUREAU

CLEREMONT, SHIMLA-171004
DATED: 31st May, 2017

Press Release

Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) – April, 2017

The All-India CPI-IW for April, 2017 increased by 2 points and pegged at 277 (two hundred and seventy seven). On 1-month percentage change, it increased by (+) 0.73 per cent between March, 2017 and April, 2017 when compared with the increase of (+) 1.12 per cent between the same two months a year ago.

The maximum upward pressure to the change in current index came from Food group contributing (+) 1.21 percentage points to the total change. At item level, Rice, Goat Meat, Milk, Pure Ghee, Onion, Brinjal, Cabbage, Carrot, Cauliflower, French Beans, Gourd, Green Coriander Leaves, Methi, Palak, Peas, Potato, Radish, Banana, Apple, Husk Melon, Lemon, Mango, Tea (Readymade), Cooking Gas, Kerosene Oil, Medicine (Allopathic), Toilet Soap, Barber Charges, Washing Soap, Tailoring Charges, etc. are responsible for the increase in index. However, this increase was checked by Wheat, Wheat Atta, Arhar Dal, Mustard Oil, Eggs (Hen), Chillies Dry, Garlic, Lady’s Finger, Parwal, Tomato, Torai, Petrol, Flower/Flower Garlands, etc., putting downward pressure on the index.

The year-on-year inflation measured by monthly CPI-IW stood at 2.21 per cent for April, 2017 as compared to 2.61 per cent for the previous month and 5.86 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year. Similarly, the Food inflation stood at 0.67 per cent against 1.71 per cent of the previous month and 7.55 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year.

At centre level, Tiruchirapally reported the maximum increase of 10 points followed by Marcara (6 points) and Rourkela, Doom-Dooma Tinsukia, Mariani-Jorhat, Rangapara-Tezpur, Angul-Talcher and Mundakkayam (5 points each). Among others, 4 points increase was observed in 2 centres, 3 points in 17 centres, 2 points in 12 centres and 1 point in 14 centres. On the contrary, Himachal Pradesh and Quilon recorded maximum decrease of 5 points each. Among others, 3 points decrease was observed in 1 centre, 2 points in 2 centres and 1 point in 7 centres. Rest of the 13 centres’ indices remained stationary.

The indices of 34 centres are above All-India Index and other 44 centres’ indices are below national average.

The next issue of CPI-IW for the month of May, 2017 will be released on Friday, 30th June, 2017. The same will also be available on the office website www.labourbureaunew.gov.in.

(SHYAM SINGH NEGI)
DEPUTY DIRECTOR GENERAL

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AICPIN for the month January 2017

AICPIN for the month January 2017

Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) for the month of January 2017.

The Labour Bureau today published the statistical index of CPI-IW for the calculation purpose of Dearness Allowance and Dearness Relief for the existing and retired employees of Central Government. This Consumer Price Index also used for the calculation of Dearness Allowance for Workmen and Officers Employees in Banks.

The All-India CPI-IW for January 2017 decreased by one point and stood at 274.

For more details, Click the link to view the Press Release

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AICPIN for the month of December 2016

AICPIN for the month of December 2016

No. 5/1/2014- CPI
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF LABOUR & EMPLOYMENT
LABOUR BUREAU

CLEREMONT, SHIMLA-171004
DATED: 31st January, 2017

 Press Release

Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW)-December, 2016

The All-India CPI-IW for December, 2016 by 2 points and stood 275 (two hundred and seventy five). On 1-month percentage change, it decreased by (-) 0.72 per cent November and December, 2016 when compared with the decease of (-) 0.37 per cent between the same two months a year ago.

The maximum downward pressure to the change in current index came from Food group conuibuting (-) 2.74 percentage points to the total change. At item level, Arhar Dal, Gram Dal, Masur Dal, Urd Dal, Groundnut Oil, Muslard Oil, Chillies Green, Ginzer, Brinjal, Cabbage, Carrot, Cauliflower, French Beans, Gourd, Green Coriander Leaves, Methi, Palak, Peas, Potato, Radish, Tomato, Banana, Lemon, etc. are responsible for the decrease in index. However, this decrease checked by Rice, Wheal, Wheat Alta, Coconut OiL Fish Fresh, Goat Meat, Milk Snack Saltish, Cooking Gas, ESI Premium Contribution, Petrol, Flowe/Flower Garlands, Toilet Soap, etc., putting upward on the index.

The year-on-year inflation measured by monthly CPI-IW stood at 2.23 per cent for December, 2016 as compared to 2.59 per cent for the pervious month and 6.32 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year. Similarly, the Food inflation stood at 0.67 per cent against 1.66 per cent of the previous month and 7.94 per cent during the corresponding month or the previous year.

At centre level, Rourkela reported the maximum decrease or 10 points followed by Vadodara (9 points), Nagpur and Lucknow (8 points each) and Amritsar, Varanasi and Monger Jamalpur (6 points each). Among others, 5 points decrease was observed in 7 centres, 4 points in 12 centres, 3 points in 9 centres, 2 points in 15 centres and 1 point in 10 centres. On the contrary, Quilon recorded maximum increase of 6 points followed by Ernakulam and Mundakkayam (3 points each). Among others, 2 points increase was observed in 4 centres and 1 point in 4 centres. Rest or the 7 centres indices remained stationary.

The indices or centres are above All-India Index and other 43 centres indices are below national average. The index or Vishakhapathnam centre remained at par with All-India Index. The next or CPI-IW fer the month of January, 2017 will be released on Tuesday, 28th February, 2017. The same will also be available on the office website www.labourbureaunew.gov.in

sd/-
(SHYAM SINGH NEGI)
DEPUTY DIRECTOR GENERAL

Authority: www.labourbureaunew.gov.in

Be the first to comment - What do you think?  Posted by admin - February 1, 2017 at 8:05 am

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DA from January 2017 will be 4% or 5% – Dearness Allowance Estimation

DA from January 2017 will be 4% or 5% – Dearness Allowance Estimation

DA from January 2017 will be 4% or 5% based on Consumer Price Index (Industrial Workers) from January 2016 to December 2016 – Net increase in DA with effect from January 2017 is estimated to be 2% or 3%

All India Consumer Price Index (Industrial Workers) for the month of November 2016 has been released by Ministry of Labour few days back.

What do we need for estimating DA from January 2017 ?

After implementation of 7th Pay Commission report, same inflation index i.e Consumer Price Index (Industrial Workers) with base year 2001=100, which was used for 6th Pay Commission Pay, is adopted for determining Dearness Allowance of Central Government Employees and Pensioners.

The only difference in DA calculation as far as DA from January 2016 will be, will be taking the Average of CPI-IW recorded in 2015 in the place of Average of CPI-IW recorded in 2005 which was used in 6th CPC DA calculation

Dearness Allowance payable after implementation of 7th Pay Commission = (Avg of CPI-IW for the past 12 months – Average of CPI-IW recorded in 2015)*100/(Average of CPI-IW recorded in 2015)

In order to determine DA with effect from January 2017, based on the above formula we need Consumer Price Index for the months from January 2016 to December 2016

Now that Consumer Price Index for the months from January 2016 to November 2016 is available, we have made an attempt to estimate Dearness Allowance applicable to Central Government Employees and Pensioners with effect from 1st January 2016, by assuming the possible CPI (IW) for the month of December 2016.

Month Actual AICPI-IW
Jan-2016 269
Feb-2016 267
Mar-2016 268
Apr-2016 271
May-2016 275
Jun-2016 277
Jul-2016 280
Aug-2016 278
Sep-2016 277
Oct-2016 278
Nov-2016 277
Dec-2016 Yet to be released

Estimation of DA from 1st January 2017:

Scenario 1 : No increase in AICPI (IW) in December 2016

AICPI (IW) for November 2016 is 277. If AICPI (IW) for December 2016 remains the same as November 2016, there will be additional 1% increase in DA from January 2017 which would make overall DA as 5%.

DA with effect from 1st January 2017 = [ (269+267+268+271+
275+277+280+278+
277+278+277+277)/12]-(261.4)
X100/261.4
= 5 %

Scenario 2: Decrease in AICPI (IW) in December 2016

Even if All India Consumer Price Index (Industrial Workers) decreases by 31 point and pegged at 246 in the month of December 2016, DA from January 2017 will be 4% . At the same time even for 1 point decrease in the index for December 2016 will result in lesser DA increase from January 2017 compared to Sceanrio 1 in which index is unaltered in Dec 2016.

DA with effect from 1st January 2017 = [ (269+267+268+271+
275+277+280+278+
277+278+277+246)/12]-(261.4)
X100/261.4
= 4 %
DA with effect from 1st January 2017 = [ (269+267+268+271+
275+277+280+278+
277+278+277+276)/12]-(261.4)
X100/261.4
= 4 %

Scenario 3 : Increase in AICPI (IW) in December 2016

It is very interesting to note here that, even for increase in consumer price index in the month of December up to 31 points, i.e Increase in AICPI (IW) for December 2016 to 308 points from 277 points in November 2016, DA from January 2017 will be 5% only.

DA with effect from 1st January 2017 = [ (269+267+268+271+
275+277+280+278+277+
278+277+308)/12]-(261.4)
X100/261.4
= 5 %

The other scenario that increase of more than 31 points in AICPI (IW) in the month of December 2016 for making DA with effect from January 2017 more than 5% is most unlikely.

Hence, it is more logical to conclude that DA from January 2017 will be either 4% or 5%.

Be the first to comment - What do you think?  Posted by admin - January 3, 2017 at 6:14 pm

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Expected DA from Jan 2017 : AICPIN for November 2016

Expected DA from Jan 2017 : AICPIN for November 2016

Press Release

Consumer Price Index Numbers for Industrial Workers on Base 2001=100

CPI(IW) Base 2001=100 Monthly Index Letter – November 2016

JANUARY 2016 269
FEBRUARY 2016 267
MARCH 2016 268
APRIL 2016 271
MAY 2016 275
JUNE 2016 277
JULY 2016 280
AUGUST 2016 278
SEPTEMBER 2016 277
OCTOBER 2016 278
NOVEMBER 2016 277
DECEMBER 2016

No. 5/1/2016 – CPI
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF LABOUR & EMPLOYMENT
LABOUR BUREAU

CLEREMONT, SHIMLA-171004
DATED: 30th December, 2016

Press Release

Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) – November, 2016

The All-India CPI-IW for November, 2016 decreased by 1 point and stood at 277 (two hundred and seventy seven). On 1-month percentage change, it decreased by (-) 0.36 per cent between October and November, 2016 when compared with the increase of (+) 0.37 per cent between the same two months a year ago.

The maximum downward pressure to the change in current index came from Food group contributing (-) 1.33 percentage points to the total change. At item level, Rice, Arhar Dal, Moong Dal, Urd Dal, Groundnut Oil, Chillies Green, Banana, Brinjal, Cabbage, Cauliflower, French Beans, Gourd, Green Coriander Leaves, Lady’s Finger, Methi, Palak, Potato, Radish, Tomato, etc. are responsible for the decrease in index. However, this decrease was checked by Wheat, Wheat Atta, Gram Dal, Goat Meat, Tea (Readymade), Cooking Gas, Electricity Charges, Petrol, Toilet Soap, etc., putting upward pressure on the index.

The year-on-year inflation measured by monthly CPI-IW stood at 2.59 per cent for November, 2016 as compared to 3.35 per cent for the previous month and 6.72 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year. Similarly, the Food inflation stood at 1.66 per cent against 2.99 per cent of the previous month and 7.86 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year.

At centre level, Salem reported the maximum decrease of 10 points followed by Bokaro (9 points), Raniganj and Kolkata (6 points each) and Ahmedabad (5 points). Among others, 4 points decrease was observed in 2 centres, 3 points in 8 centres, 2 points in 8 centres and 1 point in 15 centres. On the contrary, Jaipur recorded a maximum increase of 6 points followed by Rourkela and Srinagar (3 points each). Among others, 2 points increase was observed in 5 centres and 1 point in 7 centres. Rest of the 25 centres’ indices remained stationary.

The indices of 35 centres are above All-India Index and other 40 centres’ indices are below national average. The index of Jabalpur, Vishakhapathnam and Ludhiana centres remained at par with All-India Index.

The next issue of CPI-IW for the month of December, 2016 will be released on Tuesday, 31st January, 2017. The same will also be available on the office website www.labourbureaunew.gov.in.

Be the first to comment - What do you think?  Posted by admin - December 31, 2016 at 11:23 am

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AICPIN for October 2016

AICPIN for October 2016 : All-India Average Consumer Price Index Numbers for Industrial Workers (Base 2001=100)

Item General Index
Jan-16 269
Feb-16 267
Mar-16 268
Apr-16 271
May-16 275
Jun-16 277
Jul-16 280
Aug-16 278
Sep-16 277
Oct-16 278
Nov-16
Dec-16
Average

Be the first to comment - What do you think?  Posted by admin - December 2, 2016 at 10:18 pm

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Expected DA from Jan 2017 : AICPIN for September 2016

All India Consumer Price Index Numbers for the month of Sep, 2016 released.

The Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers Base Year 2001=100 for the month of September 2016 has been released by the Labour Bureau today through its official web portal. The index decreased by one point and stands at 277.

aicpin-sep-2016

No.5/1/2016- CPI
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF LABOUR & EMPLOYMENT
LABOUR BUREAU

CLEREMONT, SHIMLA-171004
DATED: 31st October, 2016

Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) – September, 2016

The All-India CPI-IW for September, 2016 decreased by 1 point and stood at 277 (two hundred and seventy seven). On I-month percentage change, it decreased by (-) 0.36 per cent between August and September, 2016 when compared with the increase of(+) 0.76 per cent between the same two months a year ago.

The maximum downward pressure to the change in current index came from Food group contributing (-) 1.17 percentage points to the total change. At item level, Arhar Dal, Moong Dal, Masur Dal, Urd Dal, Fish Fresh, Eggs (Hen), Poultry (Chicken), Chillies Green, Onion, Brinjal, Cabbage, Carrot, Gourd, Green Coriander Leaves, Potato, Pumpkin, Tomato, Apple, Banana, Medicine (Allopathic), etc. are responsible for the decrease in index. However, this decrease was checked by Wheat, Wheat Atta, Gram Dal, Mustard Oil, Cauliflower, Parval, Radish, Coconut, Lemon,
Tea (Readymade), Snack Saltish, Private Tuition Fee, Petrol, etc.

The year-on-year inflation measured by monthly CPI-IW stood at 4.14 per cent for September, 2016 as compared to 5.30 per cent for the previous month and 5.14 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year. Similarly, the Food inflation stood at 4.05 per cent against 6.16 per cent of the previous month and 5.71 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year.

At centre level, Belgaum, Rajkot, Mumbai and Ahmedabad reported the maximum decrease of 4 points each followed by Ludhiana, Madurai, Agra, Chennai, Warrangal, Bhilwara and Surat (3 points each). Among others, 2 points decrease was observed in 12 centres and 1 point in 18 centres. On the contrary, Angul-Talcher recorded a maximum increase of 7 points followed by Howarah and Amritsar (3 points each). Among others, 2 points increase was observed in 8′ centres and 1 point in 7 centres. Rest of the 19 centres indices remained stationary.

The indices of 33 centres are above All-India Index and other 41 centres. indices are below national average. The indices of Jabalpur, LucknQw, Pune and Bhopal centres remained at par with All-India Index.

The next issue of CPI-IW for the month of October, 2016 will be released on Wednesday, 30th November, 2016. The same will also be available on the office website www.labourbureaunew.gov.in.

(SHYAM SINGH NEGI)
DEPUTY DIRECTOR GENERAL

Click here to view the Press Release

Be the first to comment - What do you think?  Posted by admin - November 1, 2016 at 10:24 am

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DA Calculation with AICPIN: Labour Bureau released Index for August 2016

DA Calculation with AICPIN: Labour Bureau released Index for August 2016

Consumer Price Index Numbers for Industrial Workers on Base 2001=100

CPI(IW) Base 2001=100 Monthly Index Letter : August 2016

Month / Year CPI(IW)
JANUARY 2016 269
FEBRUARY 2016 267
MARCH 2016 268
APRIL 2016 271
MAY 2016 275
JUNE 2016 277
JULY 2016 280
AUGUST 2016 278

The All India CPI-IW for August, 2016 decreased by 2 points and pegged at 278 (two hundred and seventy eight). On 1 month percentage change, it decreased by (-) 0.71 per cent between July, 2016 and August, 2016 when compared with the increase of (+) 0.38 per cent between the same two months a year ago.

Click here for press note

Authority: http://labourbureau.nic.in/

Be the first to comment - What do you think?  Posted by admin - October 1, 2016 at 7:30 am

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DA & Linking Factor : What is expected? : DA Announcement and linking factor explored

DA & Linking Factor  What’s expected?  DA Announcement and linking factor explored.

As you all know that DA is calculated based on AICPIN.

AICPIN is calculated based on the inflation and the cost of living in various cities. So, what’s going to happen in 7th Pay Commission, let’s read.

In Pay Commission III, the base year was used as (1960 =100).

In 4th Pay Commission, the DA was decided to pay twice a year and also for calculating the DA value the percentage increase in the 12 monthly average of All India Consumer Price Index (base 1960). Also the base year was (1982=100) as the base year.

In 5th Pay Commission, the DA was decided based on (1982=100) as the base year.

In 6th Pay Commission, the DA was decided based on (2001=100) as the base year.

In 7th Pay Commission, should we expect to have the base year as (2011=100)?

When the DA calculation change happened from base year 1982 to base year as 2001, there were a steep increase in the DA percentage, this is because the cost of living has increased multifold and also various cities and items was also included while calculating the real DA.

So, what’s been recommend in the 7th CPC Report

Keeping in mind that the present formulation of DA has worked well over the years, and there are no demands for its alteration, the Commission recommends continuance of the existing formula and methodology for calculating the Dearness Allowance.

and also check out the gazette notification changes where the linking factor has been included as on AICPIN value as 2016.

IV. Dearness Allowance

Sl.No. Recommendation of the Seventh Central Pay Commission Decision of the Chief Justice of India
1. Existing formula and methodology for calculating Dearness Allowance to continue (Para 8.17.37 of the Report) Accepted. The reference base for calculation of Dearness Allowance after coming into force of the revised Pay Structure shall undergo change accordingly and will be linked to the average index as on 01.01.2016

Though in (2001=100) the linking factor was 4.63, this lead to the calculation of DA with the average index as 115.76 as per 2005. For example, (2005 , 12 Month Average Index  536, so the linking factor as per record was 4.63).

All India and Centre-wise Linking factors between New Series of Consumer Price Index Numbers for Industrial Workers on base 2001 = 100 and the previous series on base 1982=100 (General Index).

Table No. 9.01

GROUP WISE LINKING FACTORS BETWEEN CURRENT SERIES OF ALL INDIA CONSUMER PRICE INDEX NUMBERS
FOR INDUSTRIAL WORKERS ON BASE: 2001 = 100 AND THE PREVIOUS SERIES ON BASE: 1982 = 100

Group Linking Factor
I-A Food Group 4.58
I-B Pan. Supari, Tobacco & Intoxicants 6.16
II Fuel & Light 4.77
III Housing 6.18
IV Clothing. Bedding & Footwear 3.22
V Miscellaneous 4.55
GENERAL INDEX 4.63

Note: Figures on previous base 1982 = 100 can be obtained by multiplying the Index Number on current base 2001 = 100 by the linking factor and rounding off the result to the nearest whole number.

As you all now understand that the linking factor play a major role in getting the DA value, but the linking factor for year 2016 .

I was not able to find this data in Labour Bureau . We assume that if the linking factor of 2016 used, then we expect to get a higher DA percentage (assumption). This means it would be a real DA value as it would include various cities and the current inflation and CPI.

We hope that when the results are out they would be using the linking factor of 2016 as the gazette notification has this mentioned. Normally the DA announcement is release in September 1st week or 2nd week and hope this is announced shortly.

Source :  7thpaycommissionnews.com

Be the first to comment - What do you think?  Posted by admin - September 27, 2016 at 10:34 am

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Calculation starts for expected DA from January 2017

Expected DA Calculation starts from January 2017

People started to calculate expected DA from January 2017 as 7 Months AICPIN Points are released so far. The Labor Bureau has released Consumer Price Index Numbers for Industrial Workers for the Month of July 2016 today. Already It is confirmed that Dearness Allowance from July 2016 might be 2% as per the revised DA calculation.

Expected-DA-from-January-2017

Now, see the 7th CPC DA calculation Formula.

DA calculation Expected DA from July 2016 in Sixth and 7th Pay Commission

There are three main factors which determine the increase in percentage of DA in every pay Commission

1.DA calculation Formula
2.AICPIN for Industrial Workers
3. Base Average Index

1. Formula for DA calculation

Expected-DA-from-July-2016

2. AICPIN for Industrial Workers

The Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) is an important statistical/economic indicator. It was first introduced on scientific lines with base 1960=100 which was based on the results of Family Living Survey conducted in 1958-59 at 50 industrially important centres. The series was then, updated on base 1982=100 and a revision in 1999-2000 has further updated the base on 2001=100. The current series of CPI-IW with base year 2001=100 covers 78 industrially important centers spread across the country

3. Base Average Index

After neutralization of DA to revise the Pay and Allowance in Every Pay Commission, the Base Average Index will be modified taking into the account of 12 Months AICPIN points of previous year to neutralization of DA

1. From 1996 onwards, the average base Index was 306.33 (with base 1982=100)
How 306.33 was arrived?

To calculate the DA in Fifth pay commission, the 12 Month Average of AICPIN for the year 1995 was taken. The 12 months AICPIN Average of 1995 was 306.33

2. From 2006 onwards, the Avarage Base Index is 115.76 (with Base 2001 = 100)
How 115.76 was arrived…?

The Government has developed a new series with base 2001, with effect from January 2006. Back data series with base 2001 can be generated using linking factor 4.63

So the AICPIN Average of 2005 (with base 1982=100) i.e 536 had to be modified using linking factor 4.63 to adopt the new series in DA calculation. Thus the Base Index Number 115.76 was arrived

3. For 7th Pay Commission what will be the Base Index…?

As the 7th Pay commission recommendations will be implemented with effect from 1.1.2016, the AICPIN average of 2005 will be the Base Index for calculation of DA for 7th Pay Commission

So formula for Calculation of DA in 7th Pay Commission is

Expected-DA

Now expectation turned towards January 2017 DA. We need 12 Months AICPIN from January 2016 to December 2016 to calculate the expected DA from January 2017. The 7 month AICPIN Points released so far is given below.

January :269
February :267
March :268
April :271
May :275
June :277
July :280

Remaining Five months AICPIN Points from August to December are Required to calculate the rate of DA from January 2017. But assuming the trend of AICPIN Index by following three possibilities we can arrive the percentage of increase in Dearness Allowance approximately.

Assumption 1

If the AICPIN for Industrial workers remain stationary at 280 for next five months

The increase in DA from January 2017 will be 5 %

So the Total DA to be paid to CG staff from January 2017 will be 7%

Assumption II

If the CPI Index fluctuates between 282 to 278 points, even then there will be an increase of 5% DA from Jan 2017

Assumption III

If the AICPIN increases steadily by 2 points for successive months from August 2016 to December 2016

Then the DA to be paid from January will be enhanced by 6 %

So the trend of AICPIN Index if goes with above expectation, 5% to 6% increase can be expected in DA from January 2017.

Via : gservants.com

Be the first to comment - What do you think?  Posted by admin - September 21, 2016 at 4:35 pm

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Expected DA From July, 2016: AICPIN for the Month of May, 2016

Expected DA from July, 2016: AICPIN for the Month of May, 2016 released

No. 5/1/2016- CPI
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF LABOUR & EMPLOYMENT
LABOUR BUREAU

 

`CLEREMONT’, SHIMLA-171004

DATED: 30th June, 2016
 
Press Release

Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) — May, 2016

The All-India CPI-IW for May, 2016 increased by 4 points and pegged at 275 (two hundred and seventy five). On 1-month percentage change, it increased by (+) 1.48 per cent between April, 2016 and May, 2016 when compared with the increase of (+) 0.78 per cent between the same two months a year ago.

The maximum upward pressure to the change in current index came from Food group contributing (+) 3.69 percentage points to the total change. At item level, Rice, Wheat, Arhar Dal, Gram Dal, Masur Dal, Urd Dal, Groundnut Oil, Eggs (I len), Fish Fresh, Milk, Chillies Green, Brinjal, Cabbage, French Bean, Potato, Tomato, Sugar, Petrol, etc. are responsible for the increase in index.

The year-on-year inflation measured by monthly CPI-IW stood at 6.59 per cent for May, 2016 as compared to 5.86 per cent for the previous month and 5.74 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year. Similarly, the Food inflation stood at 8.48 per cent against 7.55 per cent of the previous month and 5.99 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year.

At centre level, Salem reported the maximum increase of 12 points followed by Puducherry and Mysore (11 points each), Bengluru (10 points), Quilon, Warrangal and Coonoor (9 points each). Among others, 8 points increase was observed in 3 centres, 7 points in 5 centres, 6 points in 5 centres, 5 points in 9 centres, 4 points in 6 centres, 3 points in 9 centres, 2 points in 6 centres and I point in 17 centres. On the contrary, Amritsar recorded a decrease of 1 point. Rest of the 10 centres’ indices remained stationary.

The indices of 31 centres are above All-India Index and other 42 centres’ indices are below national average. The indices of Pune, Salem, Vishakhapatnam, Bokaro and Varanasi centres remained at par with All-India Index.

The next issue of CPI-IW for the month of June, 2016 will be released on Friday, 29th July, 2016. The same will also be available on the office website www.labourbureaunew.gov.in.

Sd/-
(SHYAM SINGH NEGI)
DEPUTY DIRECTOR GENERAL

Source:- AICPIN May, 2016

Be the first to comment - What do you think?  Posted by admin - June 30, 2016 at 10:30 pm

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AICPIN March 2016 – Expected DA July 2016 – 3rd Stage Completed

AICPIN March 2016 – Expected DA July 2016 – 3rd Stage Completed

AICPIN March 2016 expected DA

Press Release of AICPIN for the month of march 2016

No. 5/1/2016- CPI
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF LABOUR & EMPLOYMENT
LABOUR BUREAU

`CLEREMONT’, SHIMLA-171004
DATED: 29th April, 2016

Press Release

Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) – March, 2016

The All-India CPI-IW for March, 2016 increased by 1 point and pegged at 268 (two hundred and sixty eight). On 1-month percentage change, it increased by (+) 0.37 per cent between February, 2016 and March, 2016 when compared with the increase of (+) 0.40 per cent between the same two months a year ago.

The maximum upward pressure to the change in current index came From Food group contributing, (+) 0.37 percentage points to the total change. At item level. Wheat and Wheat Atta, Fish Fresh, Goat Meat, Poultry (Chicken), Milk, Chillies Dry. Chillies Green, Potato, Seasonal Green Vegetables and Fruit items, Tea (Readymade). Sugar, Private Tuition Fee, etc. are responsible for the increase in index. However, this increase was checked by Rice, Arhar Dal. Mustard Oil, Eggs (Hen), Garlic. Onion. Tomato, Supari. Petrol, Flower/Flower Garlands, etc.. putting downward pressure on the index.

The year-on-year inflation measured by monthly CPI-IW stood at 5.51 per cent for March, 2016 as compared to 5.53 per cent for the previous month and 6.28 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year. Similarly, the Food inflation stood at 6.16 per cent against 6.18 per cent of the previous month and 6.98 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year.

At centre level, Munger-Jamalpur reported the maximum increase of 10 points followed by Raniganj (9 points) and Ludhiana (7 points). Among others, 5 points increase was observed in 4 centres, 3 points in another 9 centres, 2 points in 9 centres and I point in 14 centres. On the contrary, Mundakkayam recorded a maximum decrease of 6 points followed by Ernakulam and Puducherry (5 points each). Tiruchirapally and Warrangal (4 points each). Among others, 3 points decrease was observed in 2 centres, 2 points in 9 centres and 1 point in another 9 centres. Rest of the 14 centres’ indices remained stationary.

The indices of 33 centres are above All-India Index and other 43 centres indices are below national average. The indices of Bokaro and Varanasi centres remained at par with All-India Index.

The next issue of CPI-IW for the month of April, 2016 will be released on Tuesday, 31st May, 2016. The same will also be available on the office website www.labourbureaunew.gov. in.

Authority: www.labourbureaunew.gov. in

Be the first to comment - What do you think?  Posted by admin - April 30, 2016 at 9:47 am

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